The usual weekly technical report from SC. They have turned bullish the eurusd pair up to 1.40 mirroring the jpm shift. Its plain to see that if we could get above the 1.40 level in the coming weeks it would be a game changer for the Dollar basket with all the asset implications this would …
Continue reading “SChartered – FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 21-Oct13”
A great report. The market breadth issue is meaningful and as the guys only comment on the technical I’d just make the point that this is fully explained by the shift back down in US fixed income rates in the last 4 weeks. The ten year today has slipped back down to 2.5% and this …
This is what is so interesting at this point in proceedings. Many large participants are forecasting a continuation of the cyclical commodity bear and effectively the ending of the commodity super cycle. Fundamental demand and supply wise they could be correct but demand and supply do not drive price moves of commodity instruments any more. …
Continue reading “CS-Commodities 22nd Oct 13 & BarCap – China Commodities Oct 21st 13”
Here a couple of reports from the two widely respected, though very different, hedge funds. Greenlight Capital’s performance record, over the last decade or so, puts her in the upper quartile of the upper quartile. David Einhorn its ceo updates on views, performance and allocations. Greenlight-Q3-2013 Hinde Capital are the specialist bullion focused hedge fund. …
A nice roundup just released from the Swiss team. CS-MarcoStrat-21-10-13 Rich
Raising the forecast for the eurusd pair to the 1.40 level note! From a purely trading perspective this would be very meaningful for all sorts of instruments. Note as well the short GBP recommendation vs the USD target 1.435, make or break near term level at 1.6175. In light of the Eurusd targets this implies …
Commerz concurring with the JP team re forecasting the euro to fall back down to the 1.33 level vs the US$ given time. They have extended their range for the pair up to the 1.38 level. A useful report. Commerz-wklymacroecon-18-10-13 Rich
Interesting comment and views from CS wealth management. Their tech team picking up something noted and allocated against a week or so on the forum pages ie the “Stoxx Europe 600 Banks Index with strong technical momentum” contrary to UBS expectation. Long high yield junk, which was another theme from the forum allocations a week …
The Wells team below on the latest economic developments post the lifting of the debt ceiling. WF-Wkly-econ-18-10-13
The latest fx report from JP below. They remain fairly US$ neutral to bullish. Forecasts for major pairs for euro to weaken to 1.33 or so. JPY to decline to the 103 level vs US$ and the pound to come off a little. The dollar basket to hold this level. JPM-fx-tech-18-10-13 (From a near term …
Prestonni-TechnicalAnalysis-20Oct13 All the best Rich
Just off the wires this morning SC’s latest weekly report on global markets inc key levels and their allocation recommendations. SC also taking a bow at their recent performance and allocations. They appear to be getting a bit more bullish, at least euro area wise and staying under weight fixed income. SC-WklyMacroStrat-18-oct13 US$ confusion reigns, …
Continue reading “SC Weekly Macro Strategy, Levels & Allocations – 18th Oct 13”