We are still waiting here for clear signals from these markets. US markets have drifted higher but without momentum once again. Nasdaq, Soxx, Transports, Finance sectors all appear fading once again at these levels. Breadth is not strong here but a low momentum continuation remains the risk. The expected US$ bounce and oversold levels on …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave Down” 14th Sept17″
Another week and we have seen renewed strength in the US mega caps and oversold sectors/indexes without any particular new breakouts. Nasdaq marginal new price high by a whisker in a volatile index and no matter whether you examine this new price high via stocks above 20dma or 50dma its all very weak stuff once …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave C Below 2491” 7th Sept17″
Its back to the office time guys so a longer update. I hope you enjoyed a relaxing summer break as here we march into September. August is behind us and we enter the most bearishly biased month for equities in the year. Sept 15 and 16 were bearish months, of course the Bear Sterns, Lehman …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Sept Bearish, Bullion Buy the Dips – 31st Aug17”
Summer time continues in the price action in major developed market equity markets. We have a fair amount of chop here alongside low volume as participants hold back from committing in either direction. As we know the run up to this period has been off the back of weak breadth and momentum and so the …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Copper Breakout Continues” 25th Aug17″
Ok, another August week rolls by and, as so often seems to occur in August, we have a continuation of these choppy non directionally bias asset markets. We are by nature looking for direction across markets so we can expect a jump in volatility heading into September. This August looks very similar to August 2016 …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Sept Correction/$ Basing” 10th Aug17″
The weakness in the US$ has continued to support lead US equity indexes and commodities alike. This week I’m instead going to focus my words on the weaker non usd indexes especially given the likeliness of a bounce here in the US$. So the key price weakness in recent weeks has been European Indexes and …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Aug Top, Europe Corrective Bounce” 27th July17″
Well no great surprises for readers here as the US$ has indeed debased and so the party can continue another leg with all the implications this entails re capital flows into em markets, commodities, bullion etc. Breadth across the US indexes remains weak but as a continuation within this leg of this bull market is …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Last Leg Up into Aug – 21st July17”
Temperatures have hit 40 degrees in the last few days in the Balearic islands. The only place to be is on a boat which is exactly what i’m doing. Communications can be a little poor depending on my location so i’ll keep this short and sweet. This bull market is still alive and well and …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Trading Buy Gold” 13th July17″
Hi guys, I hope all here in the northern hemisphere are enjoying the fine summer weather a little. Certainly volatility has picked up a little here and the relentless higher highs in tech and wider SP500 is taking a breather. The US$ is down now strongly for the year and commodities are finally starting to …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “More Weakness to End July” 5th July17″
Another week rolls past and we have a pick up in price volatility here and much continued weakness and threatened breakdown for commodities. We are starting to see the 2016 to 2017 reflation trade or “escape velocity” narrative that has underpinned much of this wave 5 starting to look very weak indeed. Technically we should …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Summer Risk Top Next 5-10 Sessions” – 22nd June17″
Hi guys, we have some near term weakness here following on the failure to meaningfully breakout across risk indexes. Commodities remain very weak here and need to be watch. We should see at least one more attempt at the reflation trade continuation so entries on commodities, at the least for a bounce should show in …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “More Near Term Weakness” 15th June17″
Reports wise, we have a continuation of the Swiss team’s view that US equity risk (sp500) is tactically toppish here before a July new mkt high beckons. We have talked before about predicting tactical moves within a strong bull mkt and how problematic this can be. In this last week, many indexes have broken out …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – Tactically Toppish – 9th June17”