Here a couple of regular weekly reports from the respective wealth management teams at the above institutions. CS remains concerned on world interest rates and expects the Fed minutes later this week to bring forward the taper discussion once again. That would be a head wind for equities. Nonetheless they point out the strong seasonal …
Continue reading “CS Wealth & SC Wealth – Weekly Mkts & Equity Picks – 15th Nov13”
I hope all had a good weekend. I apologize but we had a big electrical lightening storm here which wiped out the power for around 12 hours earlier today hence the delay in posting these new reports. Here below the weekly equity report from JPM. Its an excellent report. The sectoral analysis is on the …
Continue reading “JP Weekly Equity Update – “S&P500 YE Target 1825””
Here a couple of “best practice” macro multi market reports containing a mix of fundamental and tech. Pulling all the various themes together. First, the MS Wealth report. A walk through of the major issues and they include an interview with Jim Rogers, who is always worth listening to from a longer term macro. Here …
Continue reading “MS Wealth – Macro Mkts Nov & CS “Core Strat 12th Nov13”
Here a group of reports on the commodity asset class. They have badly under performed as an asset class from mid 2011. UBS have turned bullish due to a renewal in weakness for the US$ (they believe) and the out performance of the cyclical themes. The dollar basket monetary issue is key, i believe, until …
Continue reading “Commodity Update – CS,Commerz,Nomura,etc.. 14th Nov13”
Here below the multi award winning Swiss team’s report. Despite the “Lowest Bearishness in the US Since 1987″ the Swiss team have issued a fairly bullish report proposing a final leg up to close the year end books. Its certainly a possibility as price isn’t showing any obvious weakness here. Their medium term view hasn’t …
Here a short but sweet BarCap report from Friday, aligning some dots to arrive at a deflationary picture with falling commodity prices, rising DX and rising fixed income rates. Its dangerous this. And especially dangerous given the equity market technical weakness. No equity chart but the distribution in price and internal tech would compliment well! …
Continue reading “BarCap – Fixed Income & Commodities – “Deflationary” 08th Nov13″
Here below the usual weekly round up from the team at WF. Just quickly look through these charts. And recall what has happened to earnings this year and what is likely to be reported for q3 and q4! The US picture is at best weak. The Euro loan growth to the private sector is a …
Continue reading “BarCap & WF – Macro Economics (Focus US, Canada & Japan) – 11th Nov13”
JP have issued their monthly Equity Strat which is here below. Its an excellent and, from a medium longer term (secular) perspective, they make an extremely bullish case which sits at odds to the credit over hang view from commentators like Gross, Faber, Einhorn and Grant to name just a few. I would straight up …
Below the excellent weekly wealth management update of allocations from the CS private banking team. CS-Wkly-Wealthman-08-11-13 Rich
Here below a trio of CommerzB reports. Two FX (em and commodity) orientated technical analysis trades and levels. Commerz-CommodityFXwkly-06-11-13 Commerz-Asiafx-07-11-13 Also a good report on their macro positions. Commerz-MacroStrat-06-11-13 And here the usual good technical analysis from the team re the bullion markets. CB-BullionWeeklyTech-05112013 Rich
The commerz team’s usual tech fx perspectives. commerz-wkahead-01-11-13 Commerz-fxtrades-01-11-13 Commerz-FXAsia-31-10-13 commerz-fx-em-04-11-13
The usual award winning technical analysis from the usual Swiss team. They have firmed up on the recent technical improvement across indexes. They are no longer forecasting a correction near term. Their cyclical model remains as was previously ie a deep correction into early 2014. Its the FX markets that are providing the fizz at …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “SP500 Consolidation” 05th Nov13″