We have had rumour on top of rumour. Central banks took action to liquify the system through their collateralized swap loans, equity markets were over sold and we recorded one of the best weeks for asset prices in years. Markets have risen nicely to resistances and tomorrow the euro meetings start. The good news is …
Category Archives: Commodities
Chart Blitz
So ends another week in the capital markets. Last week the technicals confirmed the macro fundamentals so that this weeks move was pretty inevitable. Everything fell into place in last week inc the inverse correlation of equity markets to the dx weakening. Although the macro picture seems to be worsening every day that passes (as …
Summary Its a Bacon Slicer – ‘We Are All Doomed But Some Less Than Others’
Where to start.. Firstly, apologies for not posting sooner. I will post some technical charts up after this brief comment. France, Germany and Italy made a joint statement out of Frankfurt today that the ECB will remain independent and that there would be no undue pressure from sovereign states to enforce the ECB to monetize …
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Market Chart Blitz
Given where we are, lets rush through some charts.. Here the super important Eurusd.. this pair is the major construct for the DX (dollar basket) and seems to define the entire direction of the market (most of the time). The risk on off correlation to eurusd is weakening a little but is still alive for …
Monetary History – The Day After the 1976 Peso Devaluation…
A personal story extracted from swissmetalassets.com link provided below. In 1976 Mexico devalued her peso vs the US$ by 50% “Everyone in the country was in shock. People’s net worth had devalued more than 53% overnight. The value in savings accounts dropped in half and neither merchants nor consumers knew how to react because they …
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Weekly Technical View.. Equities Vunerable
The UBS boys maintaining a generally bullish stance towards equities up to end q1 2012. Near term, equities over bought and due a pull back which could last to end of Nov. SP500 above 1883 is a buy.. Below this would set off some alarm bells. They are also bearish oil from 100 usds. They …
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Precious Metal Break their Ranges.. Another HUI False Dawn?
Gold and silver both scored parabolic moves in 2011, have the parabolic moves finished or are we about to see a dramatic leg up? We shall soon see guys. http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/25_Stephen_Leeb_-_China_Will_Send_Gold_%26_Silver_to_the_Moon.html Today may or may not be the long promised dawn for the pm miners but there have been interesting price moves as the pm metals …
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Weekly Technical Comments.. Buy The Dips..
The UBS team retain their bullishness with the recent ‘melt up’ being consistent with a short squeeze and therefore highly likely that a retrace comes now given the short covering that has occurred as the levels got blown over. This fits with the bearish sentiment in the market we saw before the melt. I also …
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Weekly Technical Update.. Short Term Corrective Move Consistent Within Rally
Report here below.. will update later with, hopefully, more meaningful comments as under time pressure here.. Rich UBSWeekly18-10
Households Increasingly Allocate Capital to Bonds & Cash
We have got the bounce in equities with all those different indexes bang at their supports as indicated. CRB etc.. I have leverage in my main investment account and ‘loaded the boat’ as said in the forum pages. (For clarity i do still have pockets of cash which i will allocate on market opportunities and …
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Key Inflection Point For Asset Markets
We have found supports across many different asset markets from industrial metals to softs to equity markets. Vs this we have extreme political and central bank involvement in asset markets. Their actions are driving price potentially overwhelming the technical issues. Extreme spikes down are very possible therefore as the technical supports and up draft is …
Buy Stocks – ‘Intermediate Low – Buy Weakness’ UBS Update
UBS are of the view that the low is likely in for this leg of the cyclical bear. They do leave the door open to a retest of the lows of this leg in the next week or so but recommend any such move as a ‘buying opportunity’. October rebound scenario. Sectors etc are in …
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