I hope all are having a productive and or relaxing weekend. Personally I’m still playing catch up on cyclical and secular trends across asset markets here, digesting the recent price action and its implications. Lets start with some macro reports here: Â wf-macrowkly-30-5-14 Here a useful macro equity view fro ML ml-macroequity Here the usual useful …
Continue reading “Technical, Macro Cross Asset Market Reports & Comment – 31st May 2014”
A quick update of reports. A few key instruments for my focus and book remains. The Euro breakdown vs the GBP producing a final wave lower in her multi year cyclical bear market. The Euro possible breakdown vs the USD. This area of the chart is vital to hold for the euro if her low …
Another Holiday in the UK today but time again for a technical run through here. I’m going to update this through the day so please keep referring to this doc as i will continue to add reports. Following on from last week’s technical confusion we see the theme continue this week as conviction levels for …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Strategy Update – CS,GS,CB,JP,MS,Yardeni – 3rd May14”
Sunday evening so time to refresh on where we are for the week ahead across the major asset markets. As a general comment we keep getting these sell off Friday’s that makes for bad timing between the release of the Citi report and the AG report. Take away Friday’s bar from the AG charts and …
The Swiss team’s latest report was delayed by the long holiday weekend but it just been released. No wash out but a low is in place, according to the team’s analysis. They acknowledge near term the spx is over bought but fully expect a move higher to 2000 soon. They maintain their wave five expectation …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “April Low In Place, Buy Japan” 23rd April 14″
Its been a long weekend of macro research for me looking to see if the data and macro trends can help illuminate the next macro trade for my book. Practice comment wise, sometimes this sort of work provides wonderful insightful macro direction and sometimes it doesn’t.On this occasion, so far, I’m struggling to draw clear …
Continue reading “Multi Market Technical Analysis Update – SC,CS,GS,JP,CB,AG 22nd April14”
Its Easter Sunday and hope all are having a good long weekend break here. Below are a selection of purely macro economic and equity valuation reports along with considered comment from your truly. Overall its much of the same old same old. An slow improving economic picture in terms of raw economic numbers but no …
This post will be updated through the morning so please keep checking for updates guys. Volatility has certainly increased in the last month or so and many instrument continue to look for trend direction here. Seasonally we are fast approaching the end of the inflow tail winds to equities which usually becomes a headwind once …
Continue reading “Technical & Macro Updates – CS,DB,JP,Commerz,Nom, 14th April14”
For the first time in quite some time we got yet more dovish words from the ECB and hawkish, no action again. Yet, this time, rather than the euro rallying the lack of action did not price support the euro. This is interesting and possibly meaningful price action. “QE was discussed” was about as dovish …
Many reports here, playing catchup: CS-USmacro-22-3-14 And here CS with their European views: CS-euromacro-22-3-14 And here CS on the UK macro backdrop: CS-UK-20-3-14 And here Cs on the EM macro issues: Cs-EM-qtly-Q2 And here CS with their macro views.. CS-macro-29-3-14 And here CS macro quarterly update: CS-Macro-qtly2 And here CS with their macro equity and …
Continue reading “Macro Econ, Trade & Equity Updates – CS,JP, 31st March14”
Sunday night so time to be ready for the week ahead. Last week saw the bulls attempted to reassert themselves on what was, prior week, a bearish price candle across many equity indexes with a reasonable score of intra week volatility. By the close of business on Friday the Nasdaq had scored a decent perfect …
We are almost exactly 5 years into one of the longest cyclical bull markets of the last century. And within this cyclical bull market we are at a point of significant technical “stretch” on a many different metrics including not having testing the 200 day moving average since 2012 or not having experienced a 10% …