Here the US Equity JP team. JP-USequity-10-3-14 Here the JP Asia team JP-asia-equity-11-3-14 And here the commercial positions in various asset markets. cftc-10-3-14 And here Commerz with their weekly macro strat & comment: commerse-wklystrat-14-3-14 Much more to come tomorrow. Have a great weekend what ever you are up to. Rich
Category Archives: Economics
Multi Market Macro & Technical Analysis Reports – JP,Citi,MS,CS 09th March14
In spite of the recent euro strength few are betting with her for now. The consensus view is that the 1.39 area will likely hold vs the US$. JP below are allowing for an outside move to 1.42 as the maximum level the euro could achieve and they have raised their 2014 average eurusd value …
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FX Strategy & Technical Analysis Update – BarCap,Nomura,Citi – 6th March 2014
We got a big move in the euro yesterday and this is feeding into all asset markets in the near term. Here Commerz on the news flow: commerz-fxstrat-6-3-14 The question all asset and wealth allocators must be asking themselves this morning is whether this is the start of a meaningful medium term trend of euro …
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FX Technical Strategy Update – MS,JP,Commerz,Nomura – 5th March14
We have the ECB with a seemingly important decision to make tomorrow. Their “OMT” hands may be tied but they have other options of course inc going negative on over night bank deposits as well as lowering official euro area interest rates still further. Growth remains anemic in the euro zone and French and Italian …
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Multi Market Wkly Reports – Update CS,JP,SC – 3rd March13
We are in a choppy near term directional zone here would be my comment with a tendency towards testing the recent buying supports. All the technical issues remain unchanged. If we get yet another higher high it will be on the basis of significant divergence to momentum. The Swiss team are traveling today. They may …
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Multi Market Weekly Technical Analysis – Citi (Fitzpatrick) 20th – 25th Feb14
Here a couple of the latest Fitzpatrick reports from Citi. What I really admire about his reports is that he blends the technical and fundamental in a way few do. HeĀ is prepared to step beyond the near term correlations to offer what are near term contrarian macro bets that are in line with a …
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Macro Economic Reports WF,GS,CS,BNP,BarCap,Commerz – 21th Feb14
Here WF with their weekly macro take on where we are: WF-wkmacro-21-2-14 Here WF with their monthly view of the US LEIs, where we are and where we are heading: WF-LEIs-21-2-14 here euro economic perspectives from Commerz commerz-eurozone-21-2-14 And here Commerz on German growth. The problem is divergence between her and her European partners, particularly …
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Multi Asset Technical & Fundamental Strategy Update – CS,JP,BarCap,Commerz,Facset – 13th Feb14
Here below please find the latest reports from the major institutions. As usual many more to come. The rebound from the lows of the recent correction have produced some big bounce backs in many equity indexes. The divergence in performance is worthy of comment. In the winner’s circle, China’s Shanghai index has risen nearly 15% …
Multi Market Technical Analysis & Comment – JP,MS,CS,Citi,Commerz – 09th Feb14
Latest update on reports. Here Commerz bank with their technical strategy and trade levels below. Of all the charts, one of the most notable to me is the eurusd implied volatility chart. Volatility has halved in the last 18 months or so. This is interesting for financial speculators as low volatility in potentially explosive instruments …
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Of Overshoot to SP500, 1710 & Nikkei 13170”
Its that the time of the week again for the Swiss team’s technical analysis of the major asset markets. To summarize. They believe a near term low is close though likely later this week or early next. They have been surprised by the extent of EM weakness but insist this is likely to be a …
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Global Multi Asset Markets – BarCap,JP,Commerz,WF – 30th Jan14
Here the latest equity picks from the BarCap equity team. There is lack of technical analysis charts to support their recommendations here. But to pick one stock out Lloyds I agree the stock should do well given the UK mini boom underway. They have a large consumer loan book and the UK consumer is looking …
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Multi Market, Equities,Credit,Commodities, Economics, GS,JP,MS,WF,CS – 26th Jan14
Here the much publicized GS weekly “mm” report. The week prior to this release they announced US equities were slightly above “fair value”. In this report issued last Friday they discuss the client feedback and reaffirm their case. GS-MMstrat-17-1-14 And here is this week’s latest view: GS-MMstrat-22-1-14 And here JP’s latest “MM” report: JP-MMrisk-24-1-14 And …
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