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Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Moving to an Important Medium-Term Top, Cycles Imply a Top This Week”
by on Jul 23, 2013 •The Swiss team’s latest report below. They retain their bearish call on equities and significantly call for a top in cyclical stocks and a re-rotation back into the defensive issues. Their words, also mine on the forum pages: “Make or Break Setup in US Cyclical Performance” This issue cuts to the core of the sustainability...
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Week Ahead Tech Comments – “Bullish Bullion, Bearish GBP”
by on Jul 15, 2013 •A new trading week awaits us with some key equity index levels as well as fx levels fast approaching. First up a very useful report from citi. They are bullish for this week on the bullion, WTI, and bearish the GBP. On WTI if price breaks the 110 level 145 will come into play. This...
Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near Term Consolidation”
by on Jun 25, 2013 •Bullion sentiment, already in the doldrums has managed to sink even lower following the recent new collapse in the asset class. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-20/gold-trade-most-bearish-since-10-as-fed-spurs-drop-commodities.htm The latest report from the commitment of traders will make interesting reading later today as will the JPM physical position, no doubt. But even the sentiment is now so low I would guess...
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Sunday Reflection & Analysis Of The Near Term Equity Bear Technical Case..
by on Jun 2, 2013 •Hey Guys, I trust you are all having a hugely productive and or relaxing Sunday. Volatility has been stepping up across asset markets in the last few weeks. From fixed income to equities to commodities volatility is increasing here so its correct to take a step back and double check where we are. Its the...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “5% to 8% correction into June/July but a change to our cyclical road map”
by on May 14, 2013 •We have for several weeks discussed, on the forum pages as well as editor comments, that the technical report produced by our Swiss colleagues had got their near term calls wrong. That, instead, the US equity markets displayed more technical strength than they had accounted for but this didn’t sit neatly with their cyclical model. ...
Macro Economic Update – “Another Spring Another Slow Down”
by on Apr 26, 2013 •I attach the WF economic update below. We have growth with the US GDP coming in at 2.5% today for Q1, below consensus but in a world awash with slow, or negative – Europe, growth a positive reading is something at least. German pmi came in weak again and the UK managed to score a...
Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term rebound in speculative positioning”
by on Apr 24, 2013 •No report this week from Commerz so i’ve posted up GS’s latest take on the bullion. In summary, they are long and medium term bearish on the asset class. They sight rising interest rates, low inflation and an improving US fiscal picture to cap any short term bounces in the bullion. Near term they are...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Bounce Before More Weakness”
by on Apr 23, 2013 •Below the latest Swiss team’s comments on the major market indexes from across the globe. Short term issues remain as were. On the short term, we have a bounce which is an opportunity for adding to hedges. Euro indexes have having been more over sold have enjoyed a higher bounce than the US sectors, thus...
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Weekly Technical Comments & More.. “Equity Market Distribution into a Top” & “Bullion Secular Bull Intact”
by on Apr 16, 2013 •Ok, attached below the latest view from the Swiss tech team. Another great report and nothing in the last week has invalidated their view on the major asset markets which ties in to my own views as documented on the forum boards. US index Sp500 false breakout. Rus2000 failure and looking very weak. Sub sector...
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Quick End Q1 Comments, Practice, Tech Charts..
by on Mar 29, 2013 •Happy Easter to all. A few world markets are open today but as there is a euro area holiday today its very quiet. I thought I’d use the time to post up a few end of quarter comments and charts as well a few specific trade monitoring screens that I use regularly, in the interests...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “US Indexes Q1 Top Forming. HGX, EMs, Nik225 Topped Out, Sell Bounces”
by on Mar 19, 2013 •Another solid report from the team in Switzerland covering the major sectors and indicators and price patterns once again. Amongst the items a wave five top for end q1 looks increasingly likely but its possible that a new higher high can be formed as the distribution is not providing a classic signal yet. This is...
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Info Dump – Bullion Weekly Tech Report, WF Monthly Macro, Inverse Correlation JPY Nik225 at extremes.
by on Mar 15, 2013 •A quick info dump here for all. Here below the latest bullion tech. Having been asleep the bullion’s volatility is creeping up again as are her HUI miners. This makes me wake up again on the asset class. BullionWeeklyTechnicals12032013 Here the below the latest WF monthly macro economic run through. Global macro remains very weak....