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Interim Personal Trading Update – “Risk On – Steady As She Goes” But The Asset Rally is Narrowing”
by on Mar 8, 2013 •Its been a while since i completed a personal update. As we seem to have passed through the great distribution of the last 6 weeks, here below a quick run through of my own book, feelings, comments, analysis. There is an emphasis, as always, to the future battles. Things are good, life is good and...
1925 Parlimentary Gold Standard Debate – “Shackle Us to Reality” Winston Churchill
by on Jan 28, 2013 •“I will tell you what it will shackle us to. It will shackle us to reality. For good or for ill, it will shackle us to reality. That is the only basis upon which we shall be standing, and I believe it to be the only basis which offers any permanent security for our affairs....
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Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Short Term Neutral, Medium Remains Bullish” & Market Comments…
by on Jan 25, 2013 •Apologies for anyone who missed the report being published earlier this week. I did publish the report on the forum pages. And indeed I let a contract go on silver myself earlier in the week due to the struggle we are having on multiple correlated industrial instruments here. The supports should be noted in the...
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2013 Technical Forecast, Cycles, Correlations, Inter Market Analysis & Comment..
by on Jan 8, 2013 •The Swiss team have done themselves proud once again. Words fail me. A superb analysis. Lets see if they can win the European technical team for 2013 as they did in 2012. To the report specifically. There is much to digest here. What I continue to admire about their approach is that it’s probability driven....
Nordic Region 2013 Economic Projections – “Growth Continues But Dark Clouds On Horizon”
by on Dec 25, 2012 •Here below a fundamental economic report providing an economic outlook on the Nordic region care of Nordea. The report makes clear the lower growth projections for Sweden and Denmark for 2013. Norway is set to expand more rapidly than 2012 and Sweden more slowly. Both events will each create interesting dilemmas for their central banks...
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Seymour’s Equity Research – “Inflationary Deflation” Report
by on Dec 17, 2012 •Seymour Equity have produced an outstanding report here. The attached document cuts to the core of the macro and cyclical issues facing the various asset classes. Its makes extensive use of the Kondratieff long wave theories and explains these for us. This is useful for those new to these theories. (Its worthy of note that Dr...
WF Securities 2013 Fundamental Economic Forecast – “The New Normal”
by on Dec 14, 2012 •Wells provide us the first 2013 fundamental projection report. Many more will follow of course and I’ll try and post up as many of these as I can to see what themes emerge. The Wells report is a US centric report, to my mind. I pick this single chart out from the report. This is...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Capped Near Term 1430 to 1440, Shanghai Based & Watch Silver”
by on Dec 11, 2012 •Another great macro technical report from the Swiss team. There is a lot of detail in the report from regional index comment to sector comment to commodity comments. Its a full report which i find hard to disagree with. The cyclical story is unfolding. Fundamentally it remains unproven for the moment but technically there is...
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Weekly Market Roundup – “Over Weight High Yield Equities, Under Weight Cash”
by on Dec 10, 2012 •SC stick to the same themes they have held for the last year now. Namely over weight high yield equities and FI and under weight cash, money market funds. They like oil and gold for the geo political hedges they provide. I also include their fx round up and forward looking which is released today....
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Weekly Market Roundup – “US Equities Vulnerable Short Term But Weakness An Opportunity To Average In”
by on Nov 9, 2012 •SC sticking to their defensive yielding blue chip equities theme. Buy the dips is their view with 1370 and 1345 buying zones in their opinion. Fund flows to fixed income and money market funds as well as the level of bearishness in the market leads me to mirror their view at present. I’m out of...
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Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Short Term Bearish, Medium Term Bearish”
by on Nov 8, 2012 •I’d like them to explain themselves a little more than they have done in the past but we have to hand it to the German team they have “nailed” the bullion weakness in recent months. Only the false break to the upside made the question their call and this questioning lasted only a week or...
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Weekly Market Roundup – “Weakness is Likely To Prove Temporary”
by on Nov 2, 2012 •The SC team once again producing a wide ranging report and a more bearish tone, short term, than the UBS technical report. SC are sticking to their defensive themes and are expecting a deeper pull back post the US elections to sp500 1345. This would take price below her 200 d.ma. and would infer a...