The usual award winning technical analysis from the usual Swiss team. They have firmed up on the recent technical improvement across indexes. They are no longer forecasting a correction near term. Their cyclical model remains as was previously ie a deep correction into early 2014. Its the FX markets that are providing the fizz at …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “SP500 Consolidation” 05th Nov13″
The team coming out with their new report today and maintaining their long euro positions in line with recent trend in spite of Thursday’s excitement. I don’t see anything as yet technically to undo the euro long bias vs the us$. Fundamentally the euro monetary picture remains tight and therefore positive vs the US$ and …
Continue reading “SChartered – Weekly FX Technical Analysis – 04th Nov13”
Some great reports from the JP team here below. The equity report needs some thoughtful comments. The FX is inconclusive as yet, imo. Participants are collecting again around the themes of a weaker euro and gbp vs the US$ . Here some FX reports to start proceedings. JPM-FXtechstrat-31-10-13 JPM-FXDaily-01-11-13 JPM-FXUpdate-01-11-13 The fundamental case contra the …
Continue reading “JPM-FX & Equity Reports – “Eurusd Impressive But Not Conclusive, Yet””
The usual excellent Commerz weekly technical report on the commodity fm pairs. Here the report: CommerzB-CommodityFX-30-10-13 rich
Good report here from CS Wealth. No surprise to hear some participants calling the bottom in 2009 the start of a new secular bull market for equities! When more participants start making this call it will certainly be a good contrarian indicator. Its a consensus view with calls for more compression on high yield, out …
Continue reading “CS Wealth – Monthly Global Strategy – November13”
Here a nice traditional price technical round up by the tech team at BarCap. Barcap-wklyglobaltech-28-10-13 To counter the above tech bearish view on WTI, post the likely near term bounce, here a Barcap, more bullish, fundamental perspective re the troubles in supply from Libya and Iraq, released yesterday. barcap-oil-fundamentals-28-10-13 Last week, sector wise the European …
Continue reading “BarCap-Global Instruments Technicals & Oil Supply Issues – 28th Oct13”
A good price technical report here. Plays in to the themes we have witnessed across participants at present. Part of the jigsaw. SGeneral-WklyFXTech-28-10-13 And here Commerz on their weekly as regards to the major crosses with the major em fx instruments. Commerz-wklyemfx-28-10-13 Rich
BarCap here basically going all in on all asset classes to the end of 2013. A super bullish call this. No matter fixed income, Piigs fixed income, oil, equities, junk, bullion. In summary, put on the blind fold or hand the dart to the chimp, and go all in. BARCAP-WKLYMACROTECH-25-10-13 With Yellen at the FED …
Continue reading “BARCAP-Wkly Macro & Commodities Price Tech 25th Oct13”
An excellent report. No time to comment on it but a nice walk through this by the private banking team in SC. SC-MonthlyGlobalMarkets-Nov13 Rich
A nice report here which adds another arrow to the technical view on the markets. I like the level of the shorts on WTI, as one example playing into the weak seasonals for the instrument. Purely from a trading perspective if they can be ‘turned over’ these are the sorts of games that traders like …
Continue reading “DeutscheB Commitment of Traders, Major Instruments – 28th Oct13”
Apologies for the late update on this report. I’ll be quicker on this week’s release. CS questioning whether the US$ ‘golden goose’ has been killed but coming down on the US$s side. CS-FX-wkly-23-10-13 They haven’t been proved wrong by price as yet but some of their calls are be questioned here. “We expect the euro …
Some key pairs with an emphasis on the commodity pairs to the US$. Strength in the EURO & US$ vs the NZD, CAD etc with some key levels in play. Here the report: JPM-fx-25-10-13 Rich