Firstly, a quick “capsyn” perspective and comment on the recent ‘sell off’. The S&P 500 is now 3% below her all-time high. Last week’s movements appeared volatile but they are merely volatile relative to recent past. The ‘correction’ is severe therefore only when viewed as a part of this late-stage parabolic advance. I remind that …
Continue reading “Multi Asset, Equity, FX & Technical Analysis – JP,MS,CS,Yardeni – 01 Feb14”
Here the latest equity picks from the BarCap equity team. There is lack of technical analysis charts to support their recommendations here. But to pick one stock out Lloyds I agree the stock should do well given the UK mini boom underway. They have a large consumer loan book and the UK consumer is looking …
Continue reading “Global Multi Asset Markets – BarCap,JP,Commerz,WF – 30th Jan14”
Its the time of year when the hedge fund issue their q4 letter to shareholders. Two of the most consistently high achieving hedge funds over the last decade have been Green Light Capital and Third Point achieving an average annual return of over 19% over the last decade. What I like about both these hedge …
Continue reading “Hedge Fund Focus – Greenlight, Third Point & Seth Klarman – 30th Jan14”
First up here the usual CS wealth multi market weekly release. cs-mm-25-1-14 And here the JPCaz equity team reaffirming their euro equity strategy: jpcaz-equitystrat-27-1-14 Here the Asian equity team at JP with their latest recs: JP-asainequity-27-1-14 And here, following on from Apple’s disappointing earnings call here the JP US Equity team on the subject: jp-apple-28-1-14 …
Continue reading ““MM”, Equity & FX Reports – JP CS, SC 28th Jan14″
The Swiss team have released their latest technical analysis for the major asset markets. They are sticking to their cyclical road map and therefore forecasting a shallow correction of between 5 to 7%. They reference 1730 as the ‘worst case’ scenario. I’m personally a little more near term bearish that this in terms of levels …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Near-Term Weakness Towards Worst Case SP500 1730””
Here a couple of reports from CS that i missed from the release yesterday. Firstly the superb Chart pack “Macro Pulse” report from the CS team. Its from mid last week but don’t let that stop you from digesting the report. There are so many charts to pull out here but one i saved was …
Continue reading “Multi Market Themes, Technical Trades, Inflation, Asian Equity – CS JP 27th Jan14”
Tom Fitzpatrick is the technical analysis guru at Citi. He is widely known and quoted. He presents a strong US$ strengthening theme and concern that US equities are over valued. Here a couple of his most recent reports. Fitzpatrick has turned bullish on gold and forecasts $3000 to $3500 an ounce for 2014. I arrived …
Here the much publicized GS weekly “mm” report. The week prior to this release they announced US equities were slightly above “fair value”. In this report issued last Friday they discuss the client feedback and reaffirm their case. GS-MMstrat-17-1-14 And here is this week’s latest view: GS-MMstrat-22-1-14 And here JP’s latest “MM” report: JP-MMrisk-24-1-14 And …
Continue reading “Multi Market, Equities,Credit,Commodities, Economics, GS,JP,MS,WF,CS – 26th Jan14”
A slight change today. I have 30 reports or so to load up here throughout the day. I’m going to update on FX and MMs and Econ when I have a time but i want to start the process so not to hold up members study time. I also recognize that many members here are …
Continue reading “FX Technical Analysis & Strategy (Updated 7pm GMT) – JP,SC,GS,NB,MS 26th Jan14”
What a day it has been with price finally providing confirmation of an equity correction that the technical indicators had been suggesting for some time. Here below a technical update due to the market conditions. Here the four major US indexes. We have got the long awaited price breakdown in the sp500 Dow and Russel2000 …
All sorts of alerts are flashing on the bullion markets again so we start monitoring closely again this asset class. The gold miners have been attracting large positive fund flows as commented a few weeks ago. They have scored a technical price breakout amongst ever louder market rumors that the long awaited comex delivery problems …
Continue reading “Bullion Market Technical Update – Close >1275 Opens 1375 24th Jan14”
Here are some of the latest reports from various market leading institutional wealth private banking and equity teams. First up lets start with the usual weekly “MM” report from CS Wealth CS-mmwealth-17-1-14 And here an excellent multi asset report from Commerz. “Dangerous optimism” is their opening line and i tend to agree. And note on …