Below an outstanding Barcap report in which they run through the output from the latest data of their proprietary “quantitative analysis” expert system model. Much of these models were originally developed the Lehmans Brothers teams in the US which Barcap have continued. Their model highlights the under valuation of the EUR vs the GBP. Putting together …
Continue reading “BarCap-FX Quantitative Weekly Report – 28th Oct13”
A good price technical report here. Plays in to the themes we have witnessed across participants at present. Part of the jigsaw. SGeneral-WklyFXTech-28-10-13 And here Commerz on their weekly as regards to the major crosses with the major em fx instruments. Commerz-wklyemfx-28-10-13 Rich
An excellent report. No time to comment on it but a nice walk through this by the private banking team in SC. SC-MonthlyGlobalMarkets-Nov13 Rich
Just a quick update eurgbp. I have to, unfortunately, agree with them that the euro is likely making a move toward the channel resistance at circa 0.87 vs the gbp. The battle for the technical continuation of the cyclical bear vs the gbp has been running for what seems like the last 6 months. Checking …
Continue reading “NomuraB – EURGBP EURUSD Technical Price Charts 28th Oct13”
A nice report here which adds another arrow to the technical view on the markets. I like the level of the shorts on WTI, as one example playing into the weak seasonals for the instrument. Purely from a trading perspective if they can be ‘turned over’ these are the sorts of games that traders like …
Continue reading “DeutscheB Commitment of Traders, Major Instruments – 28th Oct13”
Many participants are neutral here. They are trading small volumes until we get a bit more clarity which way we are heading here. Here Scotia, to an extent, telling us what we already know but nice analysis and puts some meat on the bones technically on the fx pairs. ScotiaB-FX-25-10-13 Rich
Apologies for the late update on this report. I’ll be quicker on this week’s release. CS questioning whether the US$ ‘golden goose’ has been killed but coming down on the US$s side. CS-FX-wkly-23-10-13 They haven’t been proved wrong by price as yet but some of their calls are be questioned here. “We expect the euro …
CS team reviewing the price moves and adjusting their forecasts for credit rates across the major markets. We have stepped back from the brink of higher rates recently. US Junk has scored a higher high and higher lows and is close to record low spreads to the UST10yr. For how long these warm tail winds …
Here a great set of charts across the major markets with the key technical levels according to CS. All sorts of standout charts inc the “US credit spreads threaten the year’s lows again” as commented, the spread is narrowing to the 10yr UST and this trend is motoring look at the tech price chart for …
At this interesting pivotal point in the FX markets, it follows that the bullion markets are also reaching a medium term pivotal moment. So here the Commerz team updating their views and restating the medium term importance 1350 level. “We are technically at a key juncture for the development of the next medium term trend …
Continue reading “CommerzB – Bullion Weekly Technical Analysis 22nd Oct 13”
Another great report from the Swiss Wealth Management team re affirming many of the allocations and trades of our own in recent weeks. Equities stretched aside from large caps with significant EM exposures. Good call i believe although i think the over valuation can extend here further.(More tech tomorrow on this near term issue). WTI …
Continue reading “CS-Weekly Wealth Management Allocations – 25th Oct13”
BarCap near term analysis. Taking US$ continuation vs the Cad as one example and using the WTI weakness to justify its entry. If they are wrong on WTI they will be very wrong on the usdcad which implies a reversal and ie direction and trend on the pair. I’d be curious to ask them how …