We have labor day holidays across US markets today which marks the official ending of the usual summer malaise in market volume. Sept is seasonally a volatile month and more often than not to the downside. Having said that August was a bad month for bond prices as rates marched higher across sovereign and consumer …
Continue reading “Weekly FX Technical Analysis & Macro Comments.. “US$ Bouncing Off Key Levels””
There is one story dominating everything at present namely: To taper or not to taper? I’m very tempted to think this is a premature question as the FED is currently monetizing 85bn of securities a month and simply a taper of 25bn or less aimed at the short end of the yield curve could be …
Continue reading “Weekly FX Technical Analysis, Macro Comments & Bullion Technicals”
Its that time of week again for a barrage of technical market reports and comments. First up here the weekly market comments from SC: SC-WklyMkt-View-16-August-2013 Over weight US equities and European equities and US$ high yield.They repeat their rational which is leaves the door open for a continuation of near term technical weakness. “Recent earnings …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 Top in Place, Over sold on the Near Term””
The swiss team’s latest report is below. There is some caution in their latest report. They have opened the door to adjusting their model dependent on potentially “game changing moves” in the metals to Europe. To my mind this is all part of the summer heat. Summer trading days are there to confuse the …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 Still Holding 1685””
The latest Swiss team’s report is attached below. Low volume continuation moves are always possible in the thin August months. Be very selective on targets until technical confirmation of the bear move is printed. She isn’t there quite yet from a US index perspective but we are getting closer. A mix of holidays and …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P Toppish””
The Swiss team’s latest report below. They retain their bearish call on equities and significantly call for a top in cyclical stocks and a re-rotation back into the defensive issues. Their words, also mine on the forum pages: “Make or Break Setup in US Cyclical Performance” This issue cuts to the core of the sustainability …
I would encourage all readers of the “latest news” pages on Capitalsynthesis.com (around 500 unique visitors daily) to regularly check and preferably contribute to the forum pages. The content on the forum pages is far greater and the analysis deeper. Here below I re-post a couple of the recent forum comments. From Saturday 13th July: …
Continue reading “Proprietary Sector Tech Comments – Dow30 & Euro Cyclicals”
As expected, we have seen a decent bounce from the report two weeks ago but no key levels have been broken here. The bounce has been swift but narrow with a new higher high in very few sectors though inc US finance, ( US Oil & Gas is very close) and in Europe only travel …
The latest report from the Swiss team is about as bearish a report as I have read for some time. The final top call for the last remaining bull equity market is in place, according to the team ie the SP500 top is in place. The Asian markets are in melt down. European markets topped …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Comments – “Set Up For The Deflationary Trade””
Bullion sentiment, already in the doldrums has managed to sink even lower following the recent new collapse in the asset class. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-20/gold-trade-most-bearish-since-10-as-fed-spurs-drop-commodities.htm The latest report from the commitment of traders will make interesting reading later today as will the JPM physical position, no doubt. But even the sentiment is now so low I would guess …
Continue reading “Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near Term Consolidation””
Its been a couple of weeks since posting here due to holidays. Therefore its a double bill set of reports from the Swiss team as follows. First up for the Swiss team we must say congratulations as they have again won this year’s Extel survey as best European technical report. Congratulations to the guys. Compared …
Here without more delay the Swiss team’s latest outstanding tech report. I’m under time pressure here so a review of this briefing tomorrow afternoon. I can say briefly that their report re-confirms my own independent tech analysis here and now. The HGX & lumber tops are important and part of the evidence that this ‘recovery’ …