The Swiss team have reported and they have provided a near term toppish recommendation on the lead sp500 index. The rational is a combo of: 1) over bought momentum. Correct for the lead indexes like dow transports, health and semis although many other indexes remain with low rsi’s and relatively unloved. It is very poor …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis “SP500 Short Term Toppish” 06th June14″
First up I wish i could be more certain of near term direction here. Issues such as market breadth are very inconclusive. Lets run through it. The bulls can point to the sp500 and % stocks above their 200 dmas as maintaining a solid bullish continuation of this 6th year of this bull market. Certainly …
Continue reading “Weekly Tech Trio & Comment – “Continuation, for Now” 1st June14″
I hope all are having a productive and or relaxing weekend. Personally I’m still playing catch up on cyclical and secular trends across asset markets here, digesting the recent price action and its implications. Lets start with some macro reports here: wf-macrowkly-30-5-14 Here a useful macro equity view fro ML ml-macroequity Here the usual useful …
Continue reading “Technical, Macro Cross Asset Market Reports & Comment – 31st May 2014”
2014 has thus far been pretty disappointing if you played for a bullish continuation from 2013. Most sectors and intra indexes have struggled. Following on from the last 2 weeks more positive price action the Dow Jones is back to her 2014 opening price. The Nasdaq, as of yesterday, scrapped just above her 2014 open …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – 27th May 2014 “Rotation Back into Cyclicals!””
I’m still playing catch up here but the quick view from yesterday on the forum “markets” pages wasn’t a bad summary, for those that caught that. Here the swiss team’s latest report: wklytech-20-5-14 Here an excellent chart pack from cs cs-techcharts-17-5-14 Here GS GS-mmwkly-17-5-14 Here MS FX MS-FXwkly-16-5-14 “We believe the stage is set for …
Its a wise trader/investor that knows how best to allocate his time at different stages of a market. Effective time allocation is a great part of mastering trading practice. We have a low volatility lull here as directional and indeed cross asset spreads stretch and fail to comply to historical means. Whats more these spreads …
Continue reading “Cross Asset Price Chart Technical Analysis – “The Coming Decline” 9th May14″
Another Holiday in the UK today but time again for a technical run through here. I’m going to update this through the day so please keep referring to this doc as i will continue to add reports. Following on from last week’s technical confusion we see the theme continue this week as conviction levels for …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Strategy Update – CS,GS,CB,JP,MS,Yardeni – 3rd May14”
Here below please find the latest Swiss team’s technical analysis. They pick up on many of the same inter market comments as we have on the forum pages. China remains a key concern and has not bounced in the way they had hoped for. The Aud is highly correlated to the Shanghai. There remains continued …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “Upside SP500 1920 to 1970” 29th April14″
Sunday evening so time to refresh on where we are for the week ahead across the major asset markets. As a general comment we keep getting these sell off Friday’s that makes for bad timing between the release of the Citi report and the AG report. Take away Friday’s bar from the AG charts and …
The Swiss team’s latest report was delayed by the long holiday weekend but it just been released. No wash out but a low is in place, according to the team’s analysis. They acknowledge near term the spx is over bought but fully expect a move higher to 2000 soon. They maintain their wave five expectation …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “April Low In Place, Buy Japan” 23rd April 14″
Its been a long weekend of macro research for me looking to see if the data and macro trends can help illuminate the next macro trade for my book. Practice comment wise, sometimes this sort of work provides wonderful insightful macro direction and sometimes it doesn’t.On this occasion, so far, I’m struggling to draw clear …
Continue reading “Multi Market Technical Analysis Update – SC,CS,GS,JP,CB,AG 22nd April14”
Its that time of the week for the Swiss team’s usual run through of the major international asset markets. They expect further weakness for the major dm asset markets inc the sp500 (possible 1774) and Nik225 (13200). We have momentum to the downside here though some sectors like the Bio techs are deeply oversold. Ill …
Continue reading “Weekly Techical Comments – “No Washout Yet” 15th April14″