This post will be updated through the morning so please keep checking for updates guys. Volatility has certainly increased in the last month or so and many instrument continue to look for trend direction here. Seasonally we are fast approaching the end of the inflow tail winds to equities which usually becomes a headwind once …
Continue reading “Technical & Macro Updates – CS,DB,JP,Commerz,Nom, 14th April14”
Here the latest GS price technical chart report across the major asset markets. Note their highest conviction current trade sets up are the audusd for aud weakness and the next highest conviction is the usdjpy for more jpy weakness down to the 99 level and this goes down to the 94 level hence the call …
I have a stack as high as me of reports I’d like to run through but I’m afraid the weekend will have to be the time to run through all the positional changes, top down perspectives as well as technical strategy and near term tactics. The markets are moving and price trends are finally providing …
Continue reading “Technical Analysis Update – CapSyn,AG “Timber” 11th April14″
The Swiss team provide their regular insightful comments here below. They are looking for an end of April, worst case move for the S&P500 to the 1800 area of the chart. They reiterate that, so long as the 1737 area holds, they remain bullish into summer for a 1920 to 1970 target. They remain bullish …
Continue reading “Cross Asset Weekly Technical Analysis – “Target April Low 1800” 8th April14″
Its Sunday so time for another update from the usual professional market commentators. Friday saw some fast price action and mirrors what we have seen consecutively for the last 4 or so Friday’s. Market participants continue to appear very reluctant to hold positions over the weekend and this is usually a sign of a very …
Continue reading “Cross Asset Technical Strategy & Tactics – JP,AG,Citi,CS – 6th April14”
For the first time in quite some time we got yet more dovish words from the ECB and hawkish, no action again. Yet, this time, rather than the euro rallying the lack of action did not price support the euro. This is interesting and possibly meaningful price action. “QE was discussed” was about as dovish …
Of all the weekly reports that come through its the trio of the Citi, UBS and AG reports that I am drawn to. I like the CS macro pulse and the GS weekly tech also the Barcap tech. There are many runners up in terms of analysis but top trio are standouts in my view. …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – AG,GS,CS,DB,Citi,BarCap,Yardeni – 1st April14”
Here below are the two latest reports from Fitzpatrick and his team at Citi. He argues the strong dollar case along FI and divergent interest rate lines. Its a strong case and one which, interestingly, he doesn’t see negatively impacting gold. Here is his latest weekly report: citi-tech-20-3-14 And here Citi’s latest interim update with …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – Citi Fitzpatrick 24th March14”
Here below please find the Swiss team’s latest weekly technical analysis report on the major international asset markets. They pick up many of the same issues as we have already on the forum pages and prior posts inc the Biotech sector issues and also the SOX deeply overbought etc, etc. They remain medium term bullishly …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Update – “China Bullish Reversal” 25th March14″
Sunday night so time to be ready for the week ahead. Last week saw the bulls attempted to reassert themselves on what was, prior week, a bearish price candle across many equity indexes with a reasonable score of intra week volatility. By the close of business on Friday the Nasdaq had scored a decent perfect …
The US equity markets are in line of sight of a full reversal of last week’s bear candle in only two trading sessions. Its certainly very impressive price action for the bulls. A reversal of price like this on the weekly would be bullish and invite those short to cover and reverse potentially. From failed …
Continue reading “Weekly “MM” Technical Analysis “>1867 Opens Re-Test Of SP500 Highs” 18th March14″
We are almost exactly 5 years into one of the longest cyclical bull markets of the last century. And within this cyclical bull market we are at a point of significant technical “stretch” on a many different metrics including not having testing the 200 day moving average since 2012 or not having experienced a 10% …