Guys, I’ll update this in real time through out the weekend but here for starters is the summary of the usual annual technical forecast update, albeit in a new mifi2 compliant ie proprietary format. A small change that I make our Capitalsynthesis a closed group and enrollment is by invitation only or by reference of …
Continue reading “Annual Technical Analysis Forecast Update – “Reflation Cycle End” 26th Jan19″
Risk is bouncing strongly here and particularly so US tech and the mid cap Russel2000. The larger caps (tech aside) are under performing and world indexes are still under performing US indexes over the recent period of weakness. The selectivity is increasing here which is usually a clear indication of weakness inside a rally with …
Continue reading “Fortnightly Technical Analysis – “2700 to 2750 SP500” 18th April 2018″
Happy Easter guys, 2018 has indeed played out according to the expectation of higher volatility against a back drop of a trend change price distribution and ending of this 8 year bull market for US risk. As we look across US cyclical risk from the sp500 to the Russel2000 to the nas100 its all still …
Good afternoon guys, We have had a pretty reasonable tactical bounce here which is likely to extend as the 13th march higher high of this move was scored with confirming price momentum and 20 day decent breadth. There is enough evidence to suggest the US equity risk bounce is not over yet therefore albeit within …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – SP500 Tactical Bounce – 16th March18 V2”
We have a continuation of volatility across risk here albeit providing a fairly constructive long set up for US risk and even most international risk cyclical markets. To try and summarize the recent price moves using the sp500 as lead here: The US Sp500 scored a new price high in January on excellent breadth, albeit …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Positive into Deeper March” 5th March 2018 V2″
Hi Guys, We have, as expected, the bounce in risk assets off the 200dma lows across the major US equity indexes. As we look across US equities we see the bounce in the cyclical themes stronger than non cyclical. Eg the QQQs and finance, soxx, etc have scored higher retracement levels than the wider Sp500. …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Corrective Rebound, US$ Basing” 22nd Feb18″
Another week rolls by and we finally have some market volatility and a negative week of price action. Its broad based across all risk markets, globally. For technicians it was an interesting (tactical) price top set up with a narrow upward channel for most US$ risk through out Jan18. Breadth has been excellent and across …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Feb SP500 Pull Back” – 4th Feb18″
A happy Monday to all and I do hope you are enjoying this bullish extension of this wave five impressive bull market in risk assets. Its been a water shed week with the final breakdown of the 38 year secular bull market for world interest rates. (Where US rates go world rates follow pretty quickly). …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – 2018 OUTLOOK 22nd Jan18”
Hi Guys, I trust all are well rested and back to the markets with renewed energy and focus. Hopefully all are enjoying the continuation of this setup in risk which started with new momentum early dec. Its been a blistering start to the new year with all risk adding weight, the dollar debasing. The rally …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – 2018 Outlooks – 11th Jan18”
Hi guys, a good week has passed with what looks and feels like the usual Santa rally in motion. US equities have set more record highs and although the 52 week highs are divergent from the prior wave they still have achieved near +2 STD from the mean levels of 52 wk highs which is …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Overshooting, Gold Basing” 20th Dec17 V2″
Holiday season is upon us and the seasonal strength shines through. After the strong momentum and renewed breadth we have seen on US equities there were clear signs of higher highs yet to come and sure enough we have seen that continuation set up. World equities have bounced but yet to have a clear signal …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Watch SP500 Support 2625” 15th Dec17″
Another busy week of price action with the continued themes of US equity strength vs rest of world equity weakness alongside commodity weakness. As expected after last week’s price action the guys have changed their call as regards to the probability of a very near term top on some US lead cyclical themes. There is …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Too Early to Call SP500 Top” 8th Dec17″