Here a great set of charts across the major markets with the key technical levels according to CS. All sorts of standout charts inc the “US credit spreads threaten the year’s lows again” as commented, the spread is narrowing to the 10yr UST and this trend is motoring look at the tech price chart for …
Category Archives: Fixed Income
CS-Weekly Wealth Management Allocations – 25th Oct13
Another great report from the Swiss Wealth Management team re affirming many of the allocations and trades of our own in recent weeks. Equities stretched aside from large caps with significant EM exposures. Good call i believe although i think the over valuation can extend here further.(More tech tomorrow on this near term issue). WTI …
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HSBC-Weekly – FX-Strat – 22nd Oct13
No focus on price by the team here. A mix of other tech indicators and fundamental comments which is actually quite refreshing and useful working alongside the price tech work of the other teams. The eurusd strength is a head wind the euro area cannot with stand. The team using it as a signal that …
Weekly Technical Analysis – “Spike in Market Breadth is Bullish, New Key SP500 Support 1729!”
A great report. The market breadth issue is meaningful and as the guys only comment on the technical I’d just make the point that this is fully explained by the shift back down in US fixed income rates in the last 4 weeks. The ten year today has slipped back down to 2.5% and this …
CS-Commodities 22nd Oct 13 & BarCap – China Commodities Oct 21st 13
This is what is so interesting at this point in proceedings. Many large participants are forecasting a continuation of the cyclical commodity bear and effectively the ending of the commodity super cycle. Fundamental demand and supply wise they could be correct but demand and supply do not drive price moves of commodity instruments any more. …
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Hedge Fund Watch – Greenlight “Letter to Shareholders” Oct15 & Hinde Capital “Bullion Miners Focus” 16th Oct 13
Here a couple of reports from the two widely respected, though very different, hedge funds. Greenlight Capital’s performance record, over the last decade or so, puts her in the upper quartile of the upper quartile. David Einhorn its ceo updates on views, performance and allocations. Greenlight-Q3-2013 Hinde Capital are the specialist bullion focused hedge fund. …
CS-Weekly Wealth Management – 18th Oct13
Interesting comment and views from CS wealth management. Their tech team picking up something noted and allocated against a week or so on the forum pages ie the “Stoxx Europe 600 Banks Index with strong technical momentum” contrary to UBS expectation. Long high yield junk, which was another theme from the forum allocations a week …
SC Weekly Macro Strategy, Levels & Allocations – 18th Oct 13
Just off the wires this morning SC’s latest weekly report on global markets inc key levels and their allocation recommendations. SC also taking a bow at their recent performance and allocations. They appear to be getting a bit more bullish, at least euro area wise and staying under weight fixed income. SC-WklyMacroStrat-18-oct13 US$ confusion reigns, …
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GS-MacroCharts-Oct13
Not easy to get our hands on GS reports and when we do you have to read slightly cynically. Having said that this one of the more useful macro reports. GS-MacroCharts-10-13
SChartered Private Bank – Weekly Multi Market Comments & Tech – 11th Oct 13
The usual excellent report from the SChartered private high net worth banking team. A mix of macro and tech across the major asset markets. SC-WklyMktview-11-10-13 rich
Weekly Technical Analysis – “A Break of 1061 Russell & 1670 SP500 Bearish & implies A More Important Market Top is in Place”.
The Swiss team’s technical report was released just as the price action was passing their key levels kicking off hedging actions for protection of longs. SOX, CYC consumer discretionary, OSX, Nasdaq Composite and the Russell-2000 have all broken last week’s pivotal reaction low. Of note the Russell really fell out of bed today as did …
Weekly Macro,Commodity & Econ Focus inc Japan & UK (CS, Epstein, WF, JP, etc)
As a general comment, the main US equity market indexes appear to be in a giant distribution since May. Higher highs have been achieved but at the cost of weaker and weaker technicals. Its not a hugely positive market in spite of higher prices being achieved. Europe has more momentum and price support for the …
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