A considered and therefore excellent report from the Swiss team. Lets get to the detail. Cyclical model wise and strategically speaking therefore they are sticking to their model for a deeper h2 continuation of the equity bull market building to an important top for equity indexes, SP500 1920 to 1970. (These are bullish levels but …
Continue reading “Weekly Multi Market Technical Analysis – “SP500 On Track to 1920” 18th Feb14″
Here an excellent report from the global BarCap Commodities team. They cover the major commodities markets from a fundamental and technical indicator correlative basis. Their comments on the copper market goes some way to explain the divergence we see between prices for copper related equity themes and the underlying. Its worth just explaining/unpicking this linkage …
Here below please find the latest reports from the major institutions. As usual many more to come. The rebound from the lows of the recent correction have produced some big bounce backs in many equity indexes. The divergence in performance is worthy of comment. In the winner’s circle, China’s Shanghai index has risen nearly 15% …
Latest update on reports. Here Commerz bank with their technical strategy and trade levels below. Of all the charts, one of the most notable to me is the eurusd implied volatility chart. Volatility has halved in the last 18 months or so. This is interesting for financial speculators as low volatility in potentially explosive instruments …
Continue reading “Multi Market Technical Analysis & Comment – JP,MS,CS,Citi,Commerz – 09th Feb14”
Here again below the latest report from Citi’s technical analysis guru, namely Tom Fitzpatrick. His report is signposted as an FX report but it has become something more like a multi asset technical report. I present it such and cross analyze it as such as well. I was going to present his report alongside …
Continue reading “Multi Market Technical Analysis Inc Key Levels – Citi Bank, Fitzpatrick Weekly..”
Its that the time of the week again for the Swiss team’s technical analysis of the major asset markets. To summarize. They believe a near term low is close though likely later this week or early next. They have been surprised by the extent of EM weakness but insist this is likely to be a …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Of Overshoot to SP500, 1710 & Nikkei 13170””
Firstly, a quick “capsyn” perspective and comment on the recent ‘sell off’. The S&P 500 is now 3% below her all-time high. Last week’s movements appeared volatile but they are merely volatile relative to recent past. The ‘correction’ is severe therefore only when viewed as a part of this late-stage parabolic advance. I remind that …
Continue reading “Multi Asset, Equity, FX & Technical Analysis – JP,MS,CS,Yardeni – 01 Feb14”
Here the latest equity picks from the BarCap equity team. There is lack of technical analysis charts to support their recommendations here. But to pick one stock out Lloyds I agree the stock should do well given the UK mini boom underway. They have a large consumer loan book and the UK consumer is looking …
Continue reading “Global Multi Asset Markets – BarCap,JP,Commerz,WF – 30th Jan14”
Its the time of year when the hedge fund issue their q4 letter to shareholders. Two of the most consistently high achieving hedge funds over the last decade have been Green Light Capital and Third Point achieving an average annual return of over 19% over the last decade. What I like about both these hedge …
Continue reading “Hedge Fund Focus – Greenlight, Third Point & Seth Klarman – 30th Jan14”
Here a couple of reports from CS that i missed from the release yesterday. Firstly the superb Chart pack “Macro Pulse” report from the CS team. Its from mid last week but don’t let that stop you from digesting the report. There are so many charts to pull out here but one i saved was …
Continue reading “Multi Market Themes, Technical Trades, Inflation, Asian Equity – CS JP 27th Jan14”
Tom Fitzpatrick is the technical analysis guru at Citi. He is widely known and quoted. He presents a strong US$ strengthening theme and concern that US equities are over valued. Here a couple of his most recent reports. Fitzpatrick has turned bullish on gold and forecasts $3000 to $3500 an ounce for 2014. I arrived …
Here the much publicized GS weekly “mm” report. The week prior to this release they announced US equities were slightly above “fair value”. In this report issued last Friday they discuss the client feedback and reaffirm their case. GS-MMstrat-17-1-14 And here is this week’s latest view: GS-MMstrat-22-1-14 And here JP’s latest “MM” report: JP-MMrisk-24-1-14 And …
Continue reading “Multi Market, Equities,Credit,Commodities, Economics, GS,JP,MS,WF,CS – 26th Jan14”