CS-Weekly Wealth Management – 18th Oct13

Interesting comment and views from CS wealth management. Their tech team picking up something noted and allocated against a week or so on the forum pages ie the “Stoxx Europe 600 Banks Index with strong technical momentum” contrary to UBS expectation. Long high yield junk, which was another theme from the forum allocations a week …

SC Weekly Macro Strategy, Levels & Allocations – 18th Oct 13

Just off the wires this morning SC’s latest weekly report on global markets inc key levels and their allocation recommendations. SC also taking a bow at their recent performance and allocations. They appear to be getting a bit more bullish, at least euro area wise and staying under weight fixed income. SC-WklyMacroStrat-18-oct13 US$ confusion reigns, …

SBank-Quarterly Commodities Q4 2013

SBank have a reputation to keep in the commodities space. Their latest quarterly is pretty bearish. The secular commodities bull is being called into question here with the 2011 highs mostly lower than their 2007 highs and the cyclical continuation running deeper and longer than most commodity participants anticipated. There is nothing on the horizon …

HSBC GR GlobalFX (Inc Bullion) Tech 11th Oct 2013

Here a new report from HSBC’s global research team. I like this report. Its not a technical report but it is a very thought provoking report. They nicely and properly include the bullion within their global fx view. Contrary to what Ben thought Gold is a currency class all by it self which HSBC appear …

Nordea-FocusUK-GBP 11th Oct 2013

Here yet another report from the professionals on the UK with some accompanying FX forecasts. Summary Nordea: In spring the recovery was seen as the slowest in 100 years. Now, PMIs are the highest on record. In spring Governor Carney was the dove above doves. Now, he sees no need for more QE and is …

BarCap-Q42013-Focus Europe – MacroEcon

Here a reasonable report from the Barcap team on the macro econ front. Barcap-QuarterlyMacro-FocusEurope-Q413 I must say its the usual tinted optimistic view on the Euro economy. After 4 long years, its true, the de-leveraging cycle seems to at least be pausing in the euro area but at what stage in the global business cycle …

Focus UK – A Cyclical or Structural Boom? (CS & WF) “UK Housing Flat, not Bubbly” Oct13

(The following report is available as a downloadable PDF here: UK-Oct07-13 )   This past weekend, US and Swiss investment teams have made the case that the UK’s current mono line cyclical boom could be a structural revival. In recent years I have advocated investing for the UK’s cyclical boombut I have always maintained there …

Weekly Macro,Commodity & Econ Focus inc Japan & UK (CS, Epstein, WF, JP, etc)

As a general comment, the main US equity market indexes appear to be in a giant distribution since May. Higher highs have been achieved but at the cost of weaker and weaker technicals. Its not a hugely positive market in spite of higher prices being achieved. Europe has more momentum and price support for the …