Its that time of the week for the Swiss team’s usual run through of the major international asset markets. They expect further weakness for the major dm asset markets inc the sp500 (possible 1774) and Nik225 (13200). We have momentum to the downside here though some sectors like the Bio techs are deeply oversold. Ill …
Continue reading “Weekly Techical Comments – “No Washout Yet” 15th April14″
This post will be updated through the morning so please keep checking for updates guys. Volatility has certainly increased in the last month or so and many instrument continue to look for trend direction here. Seasonally we are fast approaching the end of the inflow tail winds to equities which usually becomes a headwind once …
Continue reading “Technical & Macro Updates – CS,DB,JP,Commerz,Nom, 14th April14”
Here the latest GS price technical chart report across the major asset markets. Note their highest conviction current trade sets up are the audusd for aud weakness and the next highest conviction is the usdjpy for more jpy weakness down to the 99 level and this goes down to the 94 level hence the call …
I have a stack as high as me of reports I’d like to run through but I’m afraid the weekend will have to be the time to run through all the positional changes, top down perspectives as well as technical strategy and near term tactics. The markets are moving and price trends are finally providing …
Continue reading “Technical Analysis Update – CapSyn,AG “Timber” 11th April14″
The Swiss team provide their regular insightful comments here below. They are looking for an end of April, worst case move for the S&P500 to the 1800 area of the chart. They reiterate that, so long as the 1737 area holds, they remain bullish into summer for a 1920 to 1970 target. They remain bullish …
Continue reading “Cross Asset Weekly Technical Analysis – “Target April Low 1800” 8th April14″
Its Sunday so time for another update from the usual professional market commentators. Friday saw some fast price action and mirrors what we have seen consecutively for the last 4 or so Friday’s. Market participants continue to appear very reluctant to hold positions over the weekend and this is usually a sign of a very …
Continue reading “Cross Asset Technical Strategy & Tactics – JP,AG,Citi,CS – 6th April14”
For the first time in quite some time we got yet more dovish words from the ECB and hawkish, no action again. Yet, this time, rather than the euro rallying the lack of action did not price support the euro. This is interesting and possibly meaningful price action. “QE was discussed” was about as dovish …
Commodities remain the best performing asset class for 2014. Its noteworthy that hedge funds have recorded a poor quarter’s performance but especially in the last month. To the long side, stocks tracked by Deutsche Bank AG with the highest concentration of hedge fund ownership were down 4.5 percent from March 7 through last week. To …
Continue reading “Commodities Update – CS,DB,BC – 02nd April14”
Its time again for the Swiss team’s regular weekly cross asset report. We have continued price strength in the SP500 index and today’s price action has produced a close above the 1883 level producing a new all time record high for the index. The team cover the eventuality by sighting the following: “A break of …
Continue reading “Cross Asset Weekly Technical Analysis – “Minor Top Later This Week” 1st April14″
Of all the weekly reports that come through its the trio of the Citi, UBS and AG reports that I am drawn to. I like the CS macro pulse and the GS weekly tech also the Barcap tech. There are many runners up in terms of analysis but top trio are standouts in my view. …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – AG,GS,CS,DB,Citi,BarCap,Yardeni – 1st April14”
Many reports here, playing catchup: CS-USmacro-22-3-14 And here CS with their European views: CS-euromacro-22-3-14 And here CS on the UK macro backdrop: CS-UK-20-3-14 And here Cs on the EM macro issues: Cs-EM-qtly-Q2 And here CS with their macro views.. CS-macro-29-3-14 And here CS macro quarterly update: CS-Macro-qtly2 And here CS with their macro equity and …
Continue reading “Macro Econ, Trade & Equity Updates – CS,JP, 31st March14”
The FX markets have been choppy and directionless in recent months and volumes (and profits) have been falling. Like equities we need some clear trends to emerge between the major fx pairs. With great divergence between the dm nation’s economic progress (and inflation) it seems we are getting close to some new trends and it …
Continue reading “FX Weekly Marco & Technical Analysis – 29th March14”