We have a continuation of volatility across risk here albeit providing a fairly constructive long set up for US risk and even most international risk cyclical markets. To try and summarize the recent price moves using the sp500 as lead here: The US Sp500 scored a new price high in January on excellent breadth, albeit …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Positive into Deeper March” 5th March 2018 V2″
Another week rolls by and we finally have some market volatility and a negative week of price action. Its broad based across all risk markets, globally. For technicians it was an interesting (tactical) price top set up with a narrow upward channel for most US$ risk through out Jan18. Breadth has been excellent and across …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Feb SP500 Pull Back” – 4th Feb18″
A happy Monday to all and I do hope you are enjoying this bullish extension of this wave five impressive bull market in risk assets. Its been a water shed week with the final breakdown of the 38 year secular bull market for world interest rates. (Where US rates go world rates follow pretty quickly). …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – 2018 OUTLOOK 22nd Jan18”
Hi Guys, I trust all are well rested and back to the markets with renewed energy and focus. Hopefully all are enjoying the continuation of this setup in risk which started with new momentum early dec. Its been a blistering start to the new year with all risk adding weight, the dollar debasing. The rally …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – 2018 Outlooks – 11th Jan18”
Hi guys, a good week has passed with what looks and feels like the usual Santa rally in motion. US equities have set more record highs and although the 52 week highs are divergent from the prior wave they still have achieved near +2 STD from the mean levels of 52 wk highs which is …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Overshooting, Gold Basing” 20th Dec17 V2″
Holiday season is upon us and the seasonal strength shines through. After the strong momentum and renewed breadth we have seen on US equities there were clear signs of higher highs yet to come and sure enough we have seen that continuation set up. World equities have bounced but yet to have a clear signal …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Watch SP500 Support 2625” 15th Dec17″
Another busy week of price action with the continued themes of US equity strength vs rest of world equity weakness alongside commodity weakness. As expected after last week’s price action the guys have changed their call as regards to the probability of a very near term top on some US lead cyclical themes. There is …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Too Early to Call SP500 Top” 8th Dec17″
Rising selectivity in global equities is correct but nonetheless with ever higher highs in major US indexes. And whats more, in the last few sessions, we have significant price moves as lead cyclical indexes of transports and banking have price confirmed the fresh price breakouts. We have to acknowledge there is now plenty of confirming …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Rising Selectivity in Global Equities” 30th Nov17 V2″
Hey guys, Another week rolls by with US equities maintaining their perpetual drift up style, ever narrowing bull market. Once again fresh price highs with very weak breadth again and with cyclical lead indexes providing non confirmation also. This appears to conform to all the classic text book end wave 5 scenarios with all risk …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “$ Recovery Over/Flattening Yield Curve” 23rd Nov17″
We appear to have a market again here with prices rising and falling in a normal manner as opposed to the prior drift ever upward of recent months. Whilst the main US equity markets continue to see low volatility moves, price continues to be close to all time record highs, volatility is increasing and price …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis “Short Dax, Nik225” 15th Nov17″
Another week rolls by and its been the theme of continued world equity mkts strength. Rising US$ rates expectations and a small jump in inflation expectations. Asia continues to out perform and the Eurostoxx50 hits her 2014 resistance level and FEZ (eurostoxx50US$) scores another breakout higher high of this trend. Ill leave the equity detail …
Another week rolls by with sp500 price at almost the identical level she closed at the week before. Volatility has risen a little however with a reversal price bar but no follow through as yet. Lead cyclicals like transports, soxx, tech and finance either not achieving much change or slightly down. World indexes are also …