Here below the respective in house positions of MS and SC. MS making the US$ case correlating the strength to the deflationary backdrop. (Which is usually a dangerous cocktail for risk). Report here MS-WklyFX-15-11-13 Here SC retaining a ‘structurally bullish” position on the US and bullish the GBP vs US$ due to the positive “technicals …
Continue reading “MS & SC Weekly FX Reports – 15th & 19 Nov13”
Here a couple of regular weekly reports from the respective wealth management teams at the above institutions. CS remains concerned on world interest rates and expects the Fed minutes later this week to bring forward the taper discussion once again. That would be a head wind for equities. Nonetheless they point out the strong seasonal …
Continue reading “CS Wealth & SC Wealth – Weekly Mkts & Equity Picks – 15th Nov13”
There is a lot of reading. Its for those with a bias to the fundamental data. The data remains soft or weak recovery, at best. And as WF perfectly asks, “Five Years, Three QEs and $3.5 Trillion Later, Where’s the Inflation?” And consider this. In previous nominal bull markets usually occur alongside some rise inflation …
Continue reading “Global Macro Monthly & Weekly Economic Reviews & Forecasts – WF,CS,BarCap,Scan”
I hope all had a good weekend. I apologize but we had a big electrical lightening storm here which wiped out the power for around 12 hours earlier today hence the delay in posting these new reports. Here below the weekly equity report from JPM. Its an excellent report. The sectoral analysis is on the …
Continue reading “JP Weekly Equity Update – “S&P500 YE Target 1825””
Here a couple of “best practice” macro multi market reports containing a mix of fundamental and tech. Pulling all the various themes together. First, the MS Wealth report. A walk through of the major issues and they include an interview with Jim Rogers, who is always worth listening to from a longer term macro. Here …
Continue reading “MS Wealth – Macro Mkts Nov & CS “Core Strat 12th Nov13”
Here a run through from CS of the global asset markets. Here last weeks global macro chart pack from them which is a useful quick ref report i find: CS-MacroChartswkly-07-11-13 Here this week’s latest report on the same format: CS-MacroChartswkly-13-11-13 And here the usual CS weekly FX tech report, below. A good global view this …
Continue reading “CS Global Macro Charts, FX Strat & Tech 14th Nov13”
Here a group of reports on the commodity asset class. They have badly under performed as an asset class from mid 2011. UBS have turned bullish due to a renewal in weakness for the US$ (they believe) and the out performance of the cyclical themes. The dollar basket monetary issue is key, i believe, until …
Continue reading “Commodity Update – CS,Commerz,Nomura,etc.. 14th Nov13”
Here below the multi award winning Swiss team’s report. Despite the “Lowest Bearishness in the US Since 1987″ the Swiss team have issued a fairly bullish report proposing a final leg up to close the year end books. Its certainly a possibility as price isn’t showing any obvious weakness here. Their medium term view hasn’t …
Here a short but sweet BarCap report from Friday, aligning some dots to arrive at a deflationary picture with falling commodity prices, rising DX and rising fixed income rates. Its dangerous this. And especially dangerous given the equity market technical weakness. No equity chart but the distribution in price and internal tech would compliment well! …
Continue reading “BarCap – Fixed Income & Commodities – “Deflationary” 08th Nov13″
Here below the usual weekly round up from the team at WF. Just quickly look through these charts. And recall what has happened to earnings this year and what is likely to be reported for q3 and q4! The US picture is at best weak. The Euro loan growth to the private sector is a …
Continue reading “BarCap & WF – Macro Economics (Focus US, Canada & Japan) – 11th Nov13”
Here below some fx daily technical analysis reports. NomuraFXeurusd-08-11-13 nomura-usdjpy-08-11-13 Commerz-dailyfx-11-11-13 CommerzB-FXwklyEm-11-11-13 & here a interesting new report from SEB SEB-FXQUANTCOT-11-11-13 All the best Rich
Here the regular Deutsche Bank reading of the FX commitment of traders report as well as a monthly report of corporate hedge opportunities. DB-FXCOTWkly-11-11-13 Here the monthly hedging report. DB-Monthlyhedge-nov13