Weekly Technical Comments – “Bounce Remains Intact 1325 Key”

The Swiss team publish another excellent report. We all know the key levels by now by heart. Of note the AAII bullish consensus at contrarian levels. Interestingly, they also note the euro bounce possibility but ref the low volatility in the pair eurusd. I second this although this is in great fault down to the …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term, 1325 The Ultimate Trigger To Go Short”

A very interesting report this week from the Swiss boys. This is all entirely consistent with low volume summer trading is my own view. How many times have we been here before? Too many is the answer.  I wouldn’t chase any trends right now. The technical and fundamental emphasis remains to the downside unless meaningful …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Use Strength to Sell”

A facinating report from the Swiss Team this week. They are sticking to their guns that this rally is purely corrective and that July will produce much weakness in the major indexes. I must say, this sits quite nicely with the way i see things as well. SP500 rally to between 1370 to 1390 cash …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Risk Vunerable into July”

A much wider report from the Swiss team this week. They cover more instruments inc gold, the US$ and equities. They are still looking for another leg down, at least in equities but likely all risk asset classes. They remain bullish thereafter especially on commodities. Here the report: Weekly26-06 They could well be right but …

Three Telling Technical Charts..

  First up the US$ index. Her up trend is clearly intact and has much room to run. “Operation Twist” is an attempt to flatten the yield curve, only. It has no net positive money supply implications. The Fed statement was therefore supportive of ‘risk off’ and repatriation of US$ which is should continue to …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Don’t Chase The Market”

The Swiss team make their weekly technical comments below. The rebound has finally come recording the largest weekly gain for a year in many indexes. The bad news is they don’t see the recent lows as the tactical bottom. They are still targeting 1250 in the near term (by end of july) with 1358 (sp500) …

Weekly Technical Comments – No Deflationary Meltdown

Here the Swiss team’s weekly technical comments. They are expecting a large inter governmental qe3 event but weakness may extent into the fall of 2012 before a new significant bull leg in equities takes hold. They therefore discount, for now, the deflationary melt down scenario that some are pointing to. They do point out that …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Oversold Bounce Only”

Apologies for the delay in posting this week’s technical comments. The Swiss team stick to their call of last week that equity markets are deeply oversold and therefore a bounce should continue this week before more weakness resumes through June. They recommend selling SP500 levels around 1340 to 1350. Today cash reached 1335 so we …

Weekly Technical Comments – “5 to 10 Session Bounce A Selling Opportunity”

The Swiss team confirm the near term capitulation that we saw last week. They expect a bounce here lasting between 5 and 10 sessions. They recommend selling strength with S&P 1250 and even 1210 as cyclical targets. Its hard to disagree with their analysis on this occassion. Greek elections marked for the 17th June and …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Oversold Bounce” Before Selling Resumes

The Swiss team pointing to the AAII survey and the over sold indicators. (They dont pick up on the drop on bearish advisor sentiment as does Weinstien, Ive covered this on the forum). They are calling for a near term bounce in the next few sessions. The medium term technial weakness remains however so they …

Weekly Technical Comments – “Sell Any Bounces”.

The Swiss team (and many gurus inc Weinstien) getting uber bearish here and now. The cyclical bull is hanging on to a very thin thread now. They believe tech has already scored a cyclical top with a major correction in tech to come. Apple remains above 555 but watch this level. Weekly08-05 All the best …