SC Weekly Macro Strategy, Levels & Allocations – 18th Oct 13

Just off the wires this morning SC’s latest weekly report on global markets inc key levels and their allocation recommendations. SC also taking a bow at their recent performance and allocations. They appear to be getting a bit more bullish, at least euro area wise and staying under weight fixed income. SC-WklyMacroStrat-18-oct13 US$ confusion reigns, …

CommerzB – FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 17th Oct13

Commerz pouring cold water and siting the 1.367 level as a number have. They expect a stall at this level and they could well be right. Will buyers step forward for the euro at this level? Or more likely will the institutions see an opportunity to roll over the asset allocators and force them to …

Commodity Index Volatility – GSG Index 2008 – 2013

Currently on a historic annual volatility of 14% vs the mean this is low. FX has been quiet of late but if the major FX pairs start to see volatility and the Dollar index falls through this key level commodity index volatility will exponentially increase. An asymmetric trade to play off the low historic (below …

CommerzB – Wkly Technical Analysis of Major Asset Markets – 16th Oct 2013

I haven’t seen participants so confused by the fx markets for many years. Everyone is saying something different and is having to reverse positions and stance every few weeks or so. Active fx traders are starting to be cut up by the chop. I want to say that historically when price chops up like this …

Weekly Technical Analysis – “1646 New SP500 Support & Europe in Wave 5”

A great report this week from the award winning Swiss team. This week’s report is a little broader than normal in the assets markets they have covered, which is good! Their comments on fx and bullion tie nicely together.The US$ is enjoying a bounce here and now. Technically it doesn’t look likely to sustain for …

SBank-Quarterly Commodities Q4 2013

SBank have a reputation to keep in the commodities space. Their latest quarterly is pretty bearish. The secular commodities bull is being called into question here with the 2011 highs mostly lower than their 2007 highs and the cyclical continuation running deeper and longer than most commodity participants anticipated. There is nothing on the horizon …

HSBC GR GlobalFX (Inc Bullion) Tech 11th Oct 2013

Here a new report from HSBC’s global research team. I like this report. Its not a technical report but it is a very thought provoking report. They nicely and properly include the bullion within their global fx view. Contrary to what Ben thought Gold is a currency class all by it self which HSBC appear …