The German team re-affirm their bearish analysis of last week. They remain wedded to the view that gold will see a swift decline by the end of August. A break of the long term uptrend line at 1572 currently must be achieved to provide momentum to the move. They repeat the 1325 target with 1299 …
Category Archives: Markets
Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P Overbought but Rotation Positive”
The Swiss team have stepped back from their 1200 spx target for later this year. Near term they expect a pull back due to over bought conditions. On the medium term they continue to expect a more significant correction in the indexes of 5 to 8%. The recent sector rotation is a positive signal though …
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Economic Data Review & Greenlight Capital Q2 Letter
We remain at the cross roads and to steal the line from UBS a “make or break” moment in world asset markets. So lets use the time to reconsider where we are fundamentally here. In my view the fundamentals are finally in line with the techncials albeut at a higher nominal level than i would …
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Make or Break”
As I suspected the Swiss team are very much where they were a week ago. Insufficient levels have really be broken here. This should come as no surprise until one of the major central banks takes meaningful monetary action. The technicals are confirming the fundamentals of where we are at present. Its a case of …
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Weekly Technical Comments – Markets on a “Knife Edge”
As we sit here waiting for central action, or not, technical indicators are demonstrating significant moves in either direction. The Swiss team are using the “make or break” term here and now. I’ll leave all the detail on levels and various asset classes to the report. They do an excellent job of summing up things …
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Bounce Remains Intact 1325 Key”
The Swiss team publish another excellent report. We all know the key levels by now by heart. Of note the AAII bullish consensus at contrarian levels. Interestingly, they also note the euro bounce possibility but ref the low volatility in the pair eurusd. I second this although this is in great fault down to the …
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term, 1325 The Ultimate Trigger To Go Short”
A very interesting report this week from the Swiss boys. This is all entirely consistent with low volume summer trading is my own view. How many times have we been here before? Too many is the answer. I wouldn’t chase any trends right now. The technical and fundamental emphasis remains to the downside unless meaningful …
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Weekly Technical Comments “Euro Bearish”
The Swiss team, on the money yet again. Im back in the office tomorrow so comments then. All the best RichWeekly10-07
Weekly Technical Comments – “Use Strength to Sell”
A facinating report from the Swiss Team this week. They are sticking to their guns that this rally is purely corrective and that July will produce much weakness in the major indexes. I must say, this sits quite nicely with the way i see things as well. SP500 rally to between 1370 to 1390 cash …
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Risk Vunerable into July”
A much wider report from the Swiss team this week. They cover more instruments inc gold, the US$ and equities. They are still looking for another leg down, at least in equities but likely all risk asset classes. They remain bullish thereafter especially on commodities. Here the report: Weekly26-06 They could well be right but …
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Weekly Economic Indicator Review..
Here the regular weekly economic indicator report by WF. WFWeeklyEconomicCommentary-220612 And something below, i found of interest.. student loan data. By hook or by crook money supply must grow in a fiat money system.And note this is now a world wide developed world trend. That is, health, education, heating, water costs that were traditionally …
Weekly Technical Comments – Repeat “Do Not Chase The Market”
The Swiss team once again repeating the ‘don’t chase this rally’ line. The technical weakness remains with more issues than not below their 200 day mas. Only the US mega caps are holding thee indexes up and these are looking weak especially when we see renewed US$ strength again. On the upside this rally could …
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