The Swiss team make their weekly technical comments below. The rebound has finally come recording the largest weekly gain for a year in many indexes. The bad news is they don’t see the recent lows as the tactical bottom. They are still targeting 1250 in the near term (by end of july) with 1358 (sp500) …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Don’t Chase The Market””
Here the Swiss team’s weekly technical comments. They are expecting a large inter governmental qe3 event but weakness may extent into the fall of 2012 before a new significant bull leg in equities takes hold. They therefore discount, for now, the deflationary melt down scenario that some are pointing to. They do point out that …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – No Deflationary Meltdown”
Ahead of the Swiss team’s technical briefing some of my own thoughts here.. We are in a very difficult area of the trading chart here. Technically we remain massively oversold but with the bounces being very poorly supported long attempts have been beaten back and you are lucky to score positively on playing the “bounce”. …
Continue reading “Market Musings – Inflection Point For Risk On/Risk Off”
Apologies for the delay in posting this week’s technical comments. The Swiss team stick to their call of last week that equity markets are deeply oversold and therefore a bounce should continue this week before more weakness resumes through June. They recommend selling SP500 levels around 1340 to 1350. Today cash reached 1335 so we …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Oversold Bounce Only””
The Swiss team confirm the near term capitulation that we saw last week. They expect a bounce here lasting between 5 and 10 sessions. They recommend selling strength with S&P 1250 and even 1210 as cyclical targets. Its hard to disagree with their analysis on this occassion. Greek elections marked for the 17th June and …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “5 to 10 Session Bounce A Selling Opportunity””
As markets tumble we have to ask the same question we have asked ourselves so many times before. Is the economy, once again, heading into a deflationary de-leveraging spiral? The 10yr T-bond rates would answer this question with a resounding answer – yes! Lipper fund flow data has continued to roll in month after month …
Continue reading “The Inflationary Inflection Point Approaches”
The Swiss team pointing to the AAII survey and the over sold indicators. (They dont pick up on the drop on bearish advisor sentiment as does Weinstien, Ive covered this on the forum). They are calling for a near term bounce in the next few sessions. The medium term technial weakness remains however so they …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Oversold Bounce” Before Selling Resumes”
The Swiss team (and many gurus inc Weinstien) getting uber bearish here and now. The cyclical bull is hanging on to a very thin thread now. They believe tech has already scored a cyclical top with a major correction in tech to come. Apple remains above 555 but watch this level. Weekly08-05 All the best …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Sell Any Bounces”.”
The Swiss team remain near term bullish but not change on the post rally bear. Away in London at present so I’ll save more meaningful comments when back at the desk. All the best Rich Weekly30-04
The Swiss team sticking to their medium term call of another wave down but near term they are calling for a multi week rally here this week. They like risk assets ie the CRB as well AUDUSD and believe a new high is to come for some EM indexes. Medium term they stick to their …
The Swiss team assert that the bear is likely to push this lower and that a continuation to 1340 is the path of least resistance. They sight 1388 as a key level s&p500. Take note that on today’s sharp spike up we are back over 1388 as i type. If we do push on here …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Below S&P 1388 invites a move to 1340””