The 2014 forecasts are starting to come thick and fast from the majors. Many more inc comments and Capsyn 2014 view to follow soon. Multi mkts db-2014 & DB 2014 with a special focus on credit markets.Note 2014 is likely to provide some credit volatility if and when the Fed finally taper. db-credit2014 The price …
Continue reading “DB – 2014 Multi Mkt & Focus Credit Forecasts”
Its that time of the week for the usual Swiss team’s run through. The headline is they maintain that any near term weakness is corrective in nature and part of a year end push higher. This report is a bit thinner than usual but this fits with the theme of being patient for our year …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “S&P500 1850 Remains The Target” 10th Dec13″
Here some commodity and fixed income related reports. Watch both markets very carefully here. The UST is back over 2.8% at 2.86%. She is reaching a danger threshold area feeding into US mortgage rates etc. The spread to junk is at extremes. The text book case is that rates rising are usually correlated to cyclical …
Continue reading “Commodities & Fixed Income – CS,BarCap,GS,CB – 8th Dec13”
The summary from these ten reports below: Increased spending achieved via growth in consumer credit and reduced savings as income declines in real terms. Weak economic growth and from the jobs data lots of part time low skilled service jobs being created. Non standard monetary measures are working in that they are helping to sustain …
Continue reading “Weekly Economic Roundup – DanskeB,AIB,CS,ML,WF 06th Dec13”
To start off with a great report here from MS wealth re macro and mkt comments feeding into their allocation models. Note “S&P 500 is 23.8, which is 44.4% above its long-term average of 16.5″. MSwealth-allocations-06-12-13 A useful report here from CS wealth. They remain bullish equities and make some equity picks here in …
Continue reading “Allocations, Tech & Strat – CS Wealth, MS Wealth & ML – 06th Dec13”
Its the start of the final month of the calendar year so here some of the latest institutional multi mkt considerations and YE strat. CS-WealthMnthly-Dec14 CS-WealthWkly-03-12-13 DanskeB-Macrowkly-01-12-13 UBSWealth-Dec14 commerz-stratwkly-04-12-13 A flash comment for my own book. I’m looking for a bottom in the cyclical sectors and indexes here. The IBEX has bounced in the last …
Continue reading “Multi Mkt Monthly & Wkly – CS,D,UB,Commerz – 04th Dec13”
My desk is swamped with reports so better I post them up than delay before having time to make comments. I’m afraid i’m under immense time pressure at present. I hope to make some more meaningful comments on the forum pages. CS-FXstrat-04-12-13 CS-FXtech-03-12-13 DanskeB-FX-IMM-03-12-13 DanskeB-FX2014 JP-FX-Strat-03-12-13 MS-FXWkly-29-11-13 DB-FX–03-12-13 US$ strength is the renewed theme, it …
Continue reading “FX Technical Blitz (DB,CS,JP,JS,DanskeB) – 04th Dec13”
Ok its that time of the week again for the award winning Swiss team’s usual run through of the global asset markets. Really this should be read alongside the comprehensive Sunday technical update. Ive little more to add other than picking up the Swiss team’s comments re the market internal sector issues. We picked up …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Pullback to 1780 before 1850 end Dec””
Here a raft of technical comments and charts on the major fx pairs from the large institutional trading teams. To start off here the usual SC Private Banking team’s weekly analysis SC-FXwkly-02-12-13 And here another excellent weekly view from the Citi fx team Citi-Wklyfx-02-12-13 Commerz here on the weekly em fx pairs. Commerz-emwkly-02-12-13 Here an …
Continue reading “FX Pairs – Technical Analysis & 2014 Forecasts Citi,JP,SC,DB,CS – 02nd Dec13”
We are 4 weeks from the end of the calender year of 2013. The end year usually provides a platform for the professional ‘expert’ forecasters to provide their respective views for the year ahead. Here three 2014 forecast reports from JP Caz & the usual CS team. First up CS: cs-2014strat Here JPCaz providing their …
December is usually an excellent month for equities. Its often called a window dressing month securing the year end bonuses for the staff within the financial services industry. This year very few indeed are on the short side here so we must assume there are very few that want lower equities to record lower year …
Continue reading “Equity Markets Technical Analysis – Capsyn,Yardeni,BarCap – 01 Dec13”
A mix of reports covering a wide variety of global asset markets. First up some great tech charts from CS and then Commerz, here: cs-charts-21-11-13 Commerz-TechCharts-28-11-13 Here below the Barcap team covering global macro strat BARCAP-globalmacrostrat-27-11-13 Here a nice SEB report SEB-EquityIndextech-28-11-13 And finally here the UBP wealth allocations UBP-assetstrat-nov13 Happy, productive reading and consideration …
Continue reading “BarCap,CS,Commerz,UBP,SEB – Global Mkt Strats – 30th Nov13”