CS team reviewing the price moves and adjusting their forecasts for credit rates across the major markets. We have stepped back from the brink of higher rates recently. US Junk has scored a higher high and higher lows and is close to record low spreads to the UST10yr. For how long these warm tail winds …
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JPM-FX Technical Analysis – 25th Oct 13
Some key pairs with an emphasis on the commodity pairs to the US$. Strength in the EURO & US$ vs the NZD, CAD etc with some key levels in play. Here the report: JPM-fx-25-10-13 Rich
CS – Weekly Macro Charts 24th Oct 2013
Here a great set of charts across the major markets with the key technical levels according to CS. All sorts of standout charts inc the “US credit spreads threaten the year’s lows again” as commented, the spread is narrowing to the 10yr UST and this trend is motoring look at the tech price chart for …
CommerzB – Bullion Weekly Technical Analysis 22nd Oct 13
At this interesting pivotal point in the FX markets, it follows that the bullion markets are also reaching a medium term pivotal moment. So here the Commerz team updating their views and restating the medium term importance 1350 level. “We are technically at a key juncture for the development of the next medium term trend …
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JPM-Equity Tech Recommendations – 25th Oct13
Outstanding report here below. This weeks with a lot of rich content here than needs some digestion before commenting. We each run our own independent books, methods & metrics so the report here below and I’ll come back with a few of my own comments tomorrow evening. jpm-equitytech-25-10-13 All the best Rich
CS-Weekly Wealth Management Allocations – 25th Oct13
Another great report from the Swiss Wealth Management team re affirming many of the allocations and trades of our own in recent weeks. Equities stretched aside from large caps with significant EM exposures. Good call i believe although i think the over valuation can extend here further.(More tech tomorrow on this near term issue). WTI …
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BarCap-NeartermTechFX-24-10-13
BarCap near term analysis. Taking US$ continuation vs the Cad as one example and using the WTI weakness to justify its entry. If they are wrong on WTI they will be very wrong on the usdcad which implies a reversal and ie direction and trend on the pair. I’d be curious to ask them how …
HSBC-Weekly – FX-Strat – 22nd Oct13
No focus on price by the team here. A mix of other tech indicators and fundamental comments which is actually quite refreshing and useful working alongside the price tech work of the other teams. The eurusd strength is a head wind the euro area cannot with stand. The team using it as a signal that …
CommerzB – Commodity FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 23Oct13
The usual weekly technical report from CommerzB re the commodity fx pairs. The tech charts show the significance of this area for the usdcad. If the USD can get a bid she would invalidate the fairly bullish medium term chart for the cad. A breakdown for the US$ through the 200 dma would likely be …
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SChartered – FX Weekly Technical Analysis – 21-Oct13
The usual weekly technical report from SC. They have turned bullish the eurusd pair up to 1.40 mirroring the jpm shift. Its plain to see that if we could get above the 1.40 level in the coming weeks it would be a game changer for the Dollar basket with all the asset implications this would …
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CS-Commodities 22nd Oct 13 & BarCap – China Commodities Oct 21st 13
This is what is so interesting at this point in proceedings. Many large participants are forecasting a continuation of the cyclical commodity bear and effectively the ending of the commodity super cycle. Fundamental demand and supply wise they could be correct but demand and supply do not drive price moves of commodity instruments any more. …
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CS-MarcoStrat 21st Oct13
A nice roundup just released from the Swiss team. CS-MarcoStrat-21-10-13 Rich