A week of significantly increased volatility with potentially a break of a key tactical supports for US (SPX 2380) and European equity indexes. Conversely a strong breakout for the euro with Aud, gold, oil and copper seeing decent bounces. The euro potentially resuming her cyclical uptrend vs the gbp. Lets cut to the analysis from …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Consolidation, Gold Basing” 19th May17″
Another week roles by with more pain on the commodity side and more juice on the equity side with a new breakout in several Asian indexes playing the mean reversion catch up, though a long way to run to close the gap. Unfortunately i’m on a boat in the Ocean traveling and so I post …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Watch Commodities” 10th May17″
A bullish note from the guys again this week for US and European equity risk markets with a focus on the cyclicals and rotation back away from defensives. Given the impressive recent breadth its all very reasonable technical comment in my opinion also. Worthy of more comment is the commodity space. Commodities bottomed well in …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Bullish Above Pivot 2329” – 3rd May17″
Risk markets have surged upward and this bull starts yet another strong continuation upwards. Some might use the word parabolic to explain this recent price action. FX remains a little complicated for the moment. Bullion has fallen due to risk on but as risk on implies reflation (tip remains elevated) the gold move technical tactical …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 New Breakout Campaign” – 25th April17″
Another week rolls by so quickly. Global asset markets have seen more weakness over the last week with much lower levels for cyclical commodity themes and a bounce off January lows for many eg copper and a breakdown for iron ore prices in spite of a pull back for the US$ basket. Breakdown (likely false …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Sub 2378 Short Biased” 21st April17″
An ominous title this week from the guys which i pick up on below and in my mind is centered around Europe once again. Markets wise, another week rolls by with the guys clearly getting this equity mild retrace correct, so far. The risk on bullish bigger picture remains as was so we should be …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – Is the Reflation Over? 13th April17”
Hi guys, we have this continuation of tactical weakness in risk here as the fast moves from earlier in the year continue to be digested. There is nothing as yet in my tech book to see this as anything more than a consolidation of the prior moves. The US$ remains unresolved though more evidence is …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Tactical Top” 5th April17″
A little more volatility in asset markets coming through as US equities struggle for direction on the near term with continued weakness on lead cyclical indexes like the Russel, Transports & Financials. Key resistances are holding for the moment, although the Nasdaq just about scoring a marginal new high by a point or so. If …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Short Signals Intact” 29th March17″
Hi guys, all eyes at present are on the US dollar for signals of a top here as this such a meaningful asset for all risk markets and global liquidity. Needless to explain the long term inverse to prices of the commodities asset class is crucial. That said with the commodity prices providing a significant …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “US$ Dollar Top Confirmed” – 22nd March17″
Welcome back everyone. We have an outstanding new update from the guys and it comes at a time of a few different cross winds occurring here in asset markets. Whilst the reflation trade is still evident across equity markets the themes of a stronger US$ alongside rising interest rates is damping commodities here following their …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Final $ Bull Wave” 8th March17″
Another week roles past and we have recorded, with 7 up-days in a row, the longest winning streak since September 2013. Tactically, the recent rally has been near vertical and many sectors are starting to look exhaustive in the near term again. Playing for short term pull backs is dangerous thing to do in such …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Top This Week” 22nd Jan17 V2″
Its been another superb week for risk assets with many US sectors starting what appears to be fresh momentum breakouts in a market that has momentum and volume. Whether it be sp500 for nasdaq100 breadth is once again confirming the move. Price is true and trading entries are working well due to the combination of …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Analysis – “Overshooting or Melt-up?” 15th Feb17″