Hey Guys, I trust you are all having a hugely productive and or relaxing Sunday. Volatility has been stepping up across asset markets in the last few weeks. From fixed income to equities to commodities volatility is increasing here so its correct to take a step back and double check where we are. Its the …
Continue reading “Sunday Reflection & Analysis Of The Near Term Equity Bear Technical Case..”
The Swiss team put in a solid report below. Across multiple instruments and markets we have choppy conditions that signify distribution rather than meaningful tops and bottoms for the moment. “Again, there is no top without distribution and/or a top formation, and as the May 22nd top was a high momentum top, we have neither …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “S&P500 Consolidating but Final Top Still Missing””
The Swiss team have re-grouped and come back fighting. They didn’t get the pull back their models suggested. It has taken a month or so for them to really digest/accept this and re-set. We all learn by the rod here that you can’t get stubborn on these things. We are all paid on price and …
We have for several weeks discussed, on the forum pages as well as editor comments, that the technical report produced by our Swiss colleagues had got their near term calls wrong. That, instead, the US equity markets displayed more technical strength than they had accounted for but this didn’t sit neatly with their cyclical model. …
Please find the Swiss team’s latest weekly technical market comments below. It was becoming clear last week that the bear case had weakened. US markets have indeed made new record highs and market breadth has improved which the Swiss team are now acknowledging. Issues like the Russell2000 joining, as well as the semi conductors, extensions …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “SPX Overshooting 1610, Cyclicals Outperforming””
Ok, the Swiss team’s latest insightful technical comments below. As a summary they are sticking to their call that this remains distributive. A key plank of their argument is that until we get a rotation into cyclicals and away from defensives the theme remains distribution. This is a classic analysis and is historically correct. Cyclicals …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Bounce Stronger Than Expected But Distributive””
No report this week from Commerz so i’ve posted up GS’s latest take on the bullion. In summary, they are long and medium term bearish on the asset class. They sight rising interest rates, low inflation and an improving US fiscal picture to cap any short term bounces in the bullion. Near term they are …
Below the latest Swiss team’s comments on the major market indexes from across the globe. Short term issues remain as were. On the short term, we have a bounce which is an opportunity for adding to hedges. Euro indexes have having been more over sold have enjoyed a higher bounce than the US sectors, thus …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Bounce Before More Weakness””
Ok, attached below the latest view from the Swiss tech team. Another great report and nothing in the last week has invalidated their view on the major asset markets which ties in to my own views as documented on the forum boards. US index Sp500 false breakout. Rus2000 failure and looking very weak. Sub sector …
The Swiss team’s latest weekly tech view below. They are sticking to their call not to chase this rally but above S&P500 1535 it remains bullish but technically very weak. They pick up on many of the same issues we have been seeing and commenting on in the forum, for some time. Continued inter market …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Again, Don’t Chase This Rally””
Happy Easter to all. A few world markets are open today but as there is a euro area holiday today its very quiet. I thought I’d use the time to post up a few end of quarter comments and charts as well a few specific trade monitoring screens that I use regularly, in the interests …
Continue reading “Quick End Q1 Comments, Practice, Tech Charts..”
Apologies guys for the delay, i’ve been traveling today. Below we have another outstanding technical run through of the world’s major markets and instruments. I don’t want to repeat the Swiss team’s comments so therefore i won’t cover the same ground but will try and add to their analysis below. We are where we have …
Continue reading “Weekly Technical Comments – “Don’t Chase SP500 – 1538 Pivotal””